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It's Scary Dry in the Western Corn Belt, But a Drastically Different Story in the East This Year
It's Scary Dry in the Western Corn Belt, But a Drastically Different Story in the East This Year

The U.S. Drought Monitor shows drought coverage is now at its lowest level since spring of 2020, but USDA's topsoil moisture map shows it's still extremely dry in areas of the west and too wet in the east.

NASS Discontinues County Estimates For Crops And Livestock and July Cattle Report
NASS Discontinues County Estimates For Crops And Livestock and July Cattle Report

Lance Honig, acting director of the NASS methodology division, says budget constraints led to the agency's decision. The County Estimates data was used over the years, in part, to determine federal farm program payments.

Here's Why Analysts Are Scratching Their Heads After USDA's New WASDE Report
Here's Why Analysts Are Scratching Their Heads After USDA's New WASDE Report

USDA's April WASDE report showed larger wheat and soybean ending stocks, but smaller ending stocks for corn. More surprising, still, was the lack of changes to South America's crop estimates.

The Biggest Wild Card For Cotton Acres and Prices in 2024
The Biggest Wild Card For Cotton Acres and Prices in 2024

While the expectation is for cotton acres to increase in the June acreage report, another key question is if cotton demand can continue to find footing and support higher prices.

Will We See a Hard Fall or Soft Landing? It's the Million Dollar Question for the Farm Economy This Year
Will We See a Hard Fall or Soft Landing? It's the Million Dollar Question for the Farm Economy This Year

The Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor is a gauge of economists’ views on the ag economy. While outlooks have grown weaker, it’s the erosion in the future outlook that is sprouting fresh concerns.

There's a Possibility USDA's Prospective Plantings Report Next Week Produces a Surprise in Corn
There's a Possibility USDA's Prospective Plantings Report Next Week Produces a Surprise in Corn

The March Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor found nearly 80% of those surveyed say soybeans pencils better than corn this year, but economists still increased their corn acreage projections slightly in the latest survey.

3 Biggest Management Opportunities For Farmers With Technology
3 Biggest Management Opportunities For Farmers With Technology

“We are really in a second phase of ag tech,” says Ryan Raguse, co-founder of Bushel. “We aren’t in an overly mature state—we’re still somewhere in the middle ground."

2023 Crop Production Déjà Vu? USDA's Latest Report Shows Brazil's Crop Isn't A Disaster, Despite Crippling Drought Early On
2023 Crop Production Déjà Vu? USDA's Latest Report Shows Brazil's Crop Isn't A Disaster, Despite Crippling Drought Early On

USDA cut its estimate for Brazil’s soybean production by 1 MMT in the March WASDE report, which was less than what the trade expected. USDA didn’t make any cuts to Brazil’s corn.

Fallout From Falling Net Farm Income and Stubborn Interest Rates: Ag Economists Reveal What’s Now at Risk in 2024
Fallout From Falling Net Farm Income and Stubborn Interest Rates: Ag Economists Reveal What’s Now at Risk in 2024

The latest Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor projects a major drop in net farm income this year. Economists are also growing more pessimistic about the potential for interest rate cuts in 2024.

China's Buys of Corn and Sorghum Are Surging Right Now, But Why?
China's Buys of Corn and Sorghum Are Surging Right Now, But Why?

Reports say China has purchased more than 20 cargoes of feed grain in the past two weeks. Where is China buying from, and what's behind the sudden surge?

Sentiment Takes a Dive in Purdue's Latest Ag Economy Barometer
Sentiment Takes a Dive in Purdue's Latest Ag Economy Barometer

The barometer reported its lowest reading since May 2023, falling seven points from December and 24 points from January 2023.

2024 Top Producer of the Year Finalist PJ Haynie: Advocacy And Tenacity
2024 Top Producer of the Year Finalist PJ Haynie: Advocacy And Tenacity

No step is too big for Top Producer finalist, PJ Haynie. Deep family roots are the foundation of his farming legacy. 

Could Drought Cause Brazil to Lose its Top Spot as the Largest Corn Exporter in the World? Economists Weigh In
Could Drought Cause Brazil to Lose its Top Spot as the Largest Corn Exporter in the World? Economists Weigh In

Ag economists have little doubt Brazil will remain the world’s top exporter of soybeans, but with potential safrinha corn production problems, economists aren't confident Brazil can hang on to the top spot in corn.

Why Ag Economists Think Net Farm Income Could Fall to Lowest Level in 3 Years
Why Ag Economists Think Net Farm Income Could Fall to Lowest Level in 3 Years

Ag economists’ views on the ag economy took a dive in the first Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor of 2024; however, relatively strong balance sheets and working capital could provide a cushion for 2024. 

Economic Uncertainty in China Slows Demand for U.S. Corn and Soybeans
Economic Uncertainty in China Slows Demand for U.S. Corn and Soybeans

Just this week, China’s largest real estate firm was told it must liquidate after trying to restructure for two years. Some experts say the country is teetering on a recession.

A Snapshot of USDA's Surprising January Report in 10 Charts
A Snapshot of USDA's Surprising January Report in 10 Charts

With larger-than-expected yield revisions to both corn and soybeans, it leaves one burning question: which states grew such big yields in 2023? USDA NASS released maps and charts to help answer that.

Corn and Soybean Prices Tank After USDA Report Makes Surprising Revisions to Yield
Corn and Soybean Prices Tank After USDA Report Makes Surprising Revisions to Yield

USDA’s final look at crop production for 2023 caught the commodity markets by surprise. The agency increased the final yield estimates for both corn and soybeans, and as a result, prices plummeted on Friday. 

Attacks In The Red Sea Are Now A Nightmare For Shippers. Here's Why It Could Actually Open The Door For More Exports Of U.S. Corn
Attacks In The Red Sea Are Now A Nightmare For Shippers. Here's Why It Could Actually Open The Door For More Exports Of U.S. Corn

From drought issues posing problems in the Panama Canal to growing tensions and attacks in the Red Sea, it's causing freight rates to skyrocket and ongoing delays in shipping products around the globe. 

Will Inflation Return in 2024 and What Does It Mean for the Grain Markets?
Will Inflation Return in 2024 and What Does It Mean for the Grain Markets?

Despite the markets pricing in lower interest rates, Arlan Suderman expects inflation to rear its ugly head sometime in 2024.

Global Economic Slowdown Will Influence Grain, Dairy and Hog Markets in 2024
Global Economic Slowdown Will Influence Grain, Dairy and Hog Markets in 2024

Noted ag economist Dr. David Kohl forecasts tighter margins in the year ahead and emphasizes the need to globalize and future-proof operations. 

Worst-Case Scenario: Why Eric Snodgrass Thinks The Heavy Rainfall In Brazil Could Do More Harm Than Good
Worst-Case Scenario: Why Eric Snodgrass Thinks The Heavy Rainfall In Brazil Could Do More Harm Than Good

Brazil is seeing a sudden shift in weather with heavy rains now forecasted over the next two weeks. While it will bring relief to drought areas, it could cause harvest delays and issues planting the safrinha corn crop. 

Stephanie Mercier
Biofuels Seeking New Horizons

U.S. biofuel use has plateaued in recent years, and the industry is seeking new ways to expand use. One promising outlet is more use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) in the commercial aviation sector.

From a Recession in China to $4 Corn, Here Are 10 Potential Surprises Ag Economists Say Could Impact Agriculture in 2024
From a Recession in China to $4 Corn, Here Are 10 Potential Surprises Ag Economists Say Could Impact Agriculture in 2024

From the election to world trade, as well as geopolitical factors that have the potential to shape agriculture in 2024, the December Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor shows the possibility of several economic surprises.

USDA's December Reports Unwrap No Major Surprises, And Analysts Argue Corn Prices Are Stuck For Now
USDA's December Reports Unwrap No Major Surprises, And Analysts Argue Corn Prices Are Stuck For Now

Despite weather concerns sprouting in Brazil, USDA didn’t make any major adjustments to the South American crop in Friday's reports. Increased demand from China and Mexico prompted USDA to trim U.S. ending stocks.

Fed Eyes Interest-Rate Cuts for 2024 as U.S. Economy Slows
Fed Eyes Interest-Rate Cuts for 2024 as U.S. Economy Slows

Analysts say an initial cut could be made as early as first quarter 2024. One of the key factors the central banking system will consider is whether its inflation rate target of 2% has been achieved.

American Gothic: Farm Couple Nailed in Massive $9M Crop Insurance Fraud
American Gothic: Farm Couple Nailed in Massive $9M Crop Insurance Fraud

Welcome to a $9 million orgy of crop insurance fraud by an unassuming farm couple.

Farmer Shocked After Lost iPhone Circles Globe, Returns Home
Farmer Shocked After Lost iPhone Circles Globe, Returns Home

After Kevin Whitney’s iPhone fell into 220,000 bushels of grain, the device made a 20,000-mile roundtrip across the globe before returning to its stunned owner.

It's So Dry in Brazil, Some Farmers Have Replanted Soybeans Three or Four Times
It's So Dry in Brazil, Some Farmers Have Replanted Soybeans Three or Four Times

AgResource Company forecasts 80% of the soybean crop is planted as of today, but for some farmers it's been a year of replant for both corn and soybeans.

Better Yields and Improved Crop Prices Propel Ag Economists' Outlooks for 2024
Better Yields and Improved Crop Prices Propel Ag Economists' Outlooks for 2024

After two months of a waning outlook on the ag economy, economists views took a turn in the November Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor, a survey of nearly 70 ag economists from across the country.

USDA Says Trade Efforts Are Working to Build Markets Abroad
USDA Says Trade Efforts Are Working to Build Markets Abroad

The agency says exports picked up steam this year in countries such as Canada, India and Japan and that the new Regional Agricultural Promotion Program will keep the wheels of progress turning in 2024.

An Important Wildcard In The 2024 Grain Storage Outlook
An Important Wildcard In The 2024 Grain Storage Outlook

According to a recent report from CoBank, an abundance of corn and soybeans has resulted in cheaper basis and bigger carries in futures markets.

El Nino's Effect on Crop Prices
El Nino's Effect on Crop Prices

Recent WASDE reports had assumed another record Brazilian soybean crop and Argentina returning to normal, but the El Niño weather pattern might have something to say about that. 

USDA Makes Two Surprise Changes to Corn Yield and Demand In Its Latest Crop Production Report
USDA Makes Two Surprise Changes to Corn Yield and Demand In Its Latest Crop Production Report

USDA upped its corn yield estimate by nearly 2 bu. to a 174.9 bu. per acre national yield. The agency also increased its demand estimate, which softened the potential blow of such a big jump in production.

4 Reasons Why You Should Care About South America
4 Reasons Why You Should Care About South America

Let this sink in: One state in Brazil — Mato Grosso — produces the equivalent of Illinois and Iowa’s soybean production combined. Here's a look at South America's growing regions, crop calendar and production capacity.

China Makes Largest US Soy Purchases in Months
China Makes Largest US Soy Purchases in Months

Chinese importers bought around 10 cargoes of soybeans, or about 600,000 metric tons, for shipment from Gulf Coast and Pacific Northwest export terminals between December and March.

The Story Not Enough People Are Talking About, And It's Why Corn And Soybean Prices Are Stuck
The Story Not Enough People Are Talking About, And It's Why Corn And Soybean Prices Are Stuck

Corn and soybean prices seem stuck. So, what catalyst could it take to move commodity prices higher? There are a few, but analysts say the reality is there’s simply no story at the moment.

High Interest Rates Are Already Impacting Farmers, And It's Coming at the Expense of Ag Loans
High Interest Rates Are Already Impacting Farmers, And It's Coming at the Expense of Ag Loans

Farmers are opting to tap into their savings from recent prosperous years instead of taking out loans at the highest interest rates since 2007, according to surveys conducted by regional Federal Reserve banks.

The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations
The U.S. And Europe Are At Odds Over Trump-Era Tariffs, And It's Now Causing Strained Relations

While the U.S. and EU aim to make progress during an upcoming summit, reaching a final agreement is uncertain. This issue has significant implications for U.S./EU ties, climate goals, and geopolitics.

High Interest Rates, Strong U.S. Dollar Take a Toll on Ag Economy
High Interest Rates, Strong U.S. Dollar Take a Toll on Ag Economy

Findings from CoBank's new quarterly report provides updates on the U.S. economy and agricultural markets.

Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated
Trade Relations Between the U.S. and China Just Got Even More Complicated

China's Commerce minister expressed concerns over trade and tech restrictions to U.S. Senate Majority Leader this week. That's as the U.S. Commerce Department added 42 more Chinese companies to the export blacklist.

Is More Vertical Integration, Consolidation Now Ahead? Why 2023 Could Change the Entire Pork Industry
Is More Vertical Integration, Consolidation Now Ahead? Why 2023 Could Change the Entire Pork Industry

As pork producers’ potential profits continue to erode this year, some economists say 2023 could be financially worse than 1998, which is unearthing concerns about contraction, restructuring and vertical integration.

Is A Recession Imminent? Here Are The Red Flags Ag Economists Are Now Watching
Is A Recession Imminent? Here Are The Red Flags Ag Economists Are Now Watching

While ag economists continue to be at odds when it comes to the likelihood of a recession in the U.S., some doubt the country's biggest importers will be able to avoid a recession over the next 18 months.

‘Shutdown Shenanigans’ Could be Big Negatives for Grain Markets and U.S. Credit Ratings
‘Shutdown Shenanigans’ Could be Big Negatives for Grain Markets and U.S. Credit Ratings

If Congress doesn't pass stopgap funding, crop production and progress reports will probably stall. That won't bode well for markets. "Usually it means that we've got some selling pressure ahead,” says one analyst.

The One Factor That Could Make Or Break the Farm Economy Over the Next 12 Months
The One Factor That Could Make Or Break the Farm Economy Over the Next 12 Months

Ag economists’ view on the ag economy is starting to erode. The September Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor shows lower commodity prices, concerns about demand and a negative outlook for China’s economy.

SOLD! 115 Acres of Missouri Farmland Just Sold For $34,800 Per Acre, Smashing the Previous Record
SOLD! 115 Acres of Missouri Farmland Just Sold For $34,800 Per Acre, Smashing the Previous Record

There’s a new record farmland sale on the books. After a 15-min. bidding war between two area farmers, the gavel fell at $34,800 per acre, which is $4,800 more than the previous record set in November 2022 in Iowa.

Crude Awakening: Rising Oil Prices Complicate Fed's Rate-Hike Decisions
Crude Awakening: Rising Oil Prices Complicate Fed's Rate-Hike Decisions

As brent crude futures soar toward $100, it's creating a new battle in the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation. One money manager warns another rate hike is likely. 

As Dry Weather Takes a Toll On Crops, It's a Year Test Weights and Seed Size Could Now Eat Into Yields
As Dry Weather Takes a Toll On Crops, It's a Year Test Weights and Seed Size Could Now Eat Into Yields

Both Dan Basse and Chip Nellinger say considering how dry it’s been, crop yields could be falling, and USDA may be forced to make more cuts to the national yield forecasts in upcoming reports.  

Is the Stage Now Set For More Yield Cuts in October? Not If A Government Shutdown Stands In the Way
Is the Stage Now Set For More Yield Cuts in October? Not If A Government Shutdown Stands In the Way

There are just over two weeks for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avoid a total government shutdown. If time runs out, one analyst says that could mean no USDA report in October and no yield cuts, which are likely.

Potential Game Changer? Exports Explode as Crop Conditions Crumble
Potential Game Changer? Exports Explode as Crop Conditions Crumble

Mizzou's Ben Brown says the 81.2 million bushels new crop export sale marks the largest week of sales for the 2023/24 marketing year to date and double the previous record weekly volume for the year set last week.

Ag Economists Turn More Bullish On Soybean Prices, Corn Prices Are a Big Red Flag
Ag Economists Turn More Bullish On Soybean Prices, Corn Prices Are a Big Red Flag

Even with red flags with demand and the economy, the August Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor shows economists continue to be impressed with the staying power of the U.S. ag economy, as well as the U.S. economy as a whole.