Farm CPA Estimates Per-Acre Bridge Payment Rates In Anticipation of Final USDA Numbers

As farmers wait for official rates expected the week of Dec. 22, Paul Neiffer shares his calculation for six crops. Richard Fordyce with USDA also lays out the timeline for delivering payments and what farmers need to do to be on the list.

The Trump Administration, recognizing the challenges in farm country related to trade negotiations and the impact on production costs and prices, is rolling out a new $12 billion aid program. The Farmer Bridge Assistance program is a one-time payment delivered to farmers, which the administration says have been impacted by unfair market disruptions.

“We have been looking at the impacts of a lot of components related to agriculture,” explains Richard Fordyce, USDA Undersecretary for Farm Production and Conservation. “Some prices are not where we want to see them from the commodity perspective, and inputs seem to be very reluctant to come down, whether that’s fertilizer, crop protection, seed or equipment.”

Higher safety net reference prices for the major crops, approved in the One Big Beautiful Bill earlier this year, are on the way but they won’t be available until October 2026. Hence, the decision to deliver a “bridge” payment was made, given the income challenges plaguing farmers in several corners of agriculture.

“The increase in those reference prices is going to really make a big difference from a safety net standpoint,” Fordyce adds.

Farmer Bridge Assistance Enrollment Starts Today

Getting enrolled begins today. Eligible producers must verify 2025 acreage reports by Dec. 19.

“I’m going to guess 99% of acreage reports are complete, but we want to give folks who maybe haven’t done an acreage report up to this point the opportunity to get that acreage report filed,” Fordyce says.

He says most farmers likely did an acreage report by July 15 and fall-seeded crops were done in fall 2024.

"[These few days are] for the folks who have not done one or maybe historically don’t do them,” he explains. “It’s an opportunity for those folks to get that done.”

Payment Estimates Before Christmas

Fordyce says once the acreage numbers are in, they’ll finalize the payment rates by crop. Those will be ready by the week of Dec. 22.

“The reason we wanted to get that done before the first of the year is to give some certainty to producers,” Fordyce says. “If they’re trying to secure financing for the 2026 crop year, they’ll understand where they are financially and where this bridge payment will come in [to help] make a difference.”

Farm CPA Paul Neiffer says USDA appears to be considering a calculation for the Farmer Bridge Assistance similar to the Emergency Commodity Assistance Program (ECAP).

“ECAP took the December 2024 marketing year average estimates from USDA and then subtracted the estimated cost of production for the 2024 crop and then applied a payment percentage,” Neiffer explains. "$10 billion was authorized for ECAP, $11 billion for Farmer Bridge Assistance. Therefore, it is likely Farmer Bridge Assistance payment rates will be at least 10% higher on average.”

Neiffer assumes any increase in the cost of production for 2025 compared with 2024 will be about the same percentage for all crops. Therefore, the only difference between ECAP and FBA is the estimated marketing year average price.

Here are his estimates for final Farmer Bridge Assistance payment rates for six crops:

If this tracks with USDA’s final calculations, it’s clear Southern farmers, those raising cotton and rice, will see higher per-acre payouts than soybean growers in the Midwest. USDA says these payments are expected to be delivered by the end of February 2026.

USDA says Farmer Bridge Assistance applies to producers of a broad list of row crops and oilseeds, including:

  • Barley
  • Corn
  • Cotton
  • Peanuts
  • Oats
  • Rice
  • Sorghum
  • Soybeans
  • Wheat

Plus crops such as canola, flax, mustard, rapeseed, safflower, sesame and sunflower, among others.

A Bridge to 2026

The administration had been expected to roll out as much as $15 billion in aid back in October, but Rollins said the 43-day federal government shutdown pushed back the timeline.

During his first term, Trump directed about $23 billion in aid to farmers. Reuters reports producers this year were already on track to receive nearly $40 billion in ad-hoc disaster and economic assistance.

The new trade aid package is widely welcomed, but many U.S. farmers say the damage from the trade war, and China’s boycott of U.S. soybeans through harvest, has already taken its toll. Billions of dollars in lost soybean sales pushed China toward South American suppliers, creating long-term financial and market consequences.

“Certainly we have an idea of what that gap is between where prices are and where the cost of production is [along with] just a whole bunch of other economic indicators,” Fordyce says. “We’re not going to be able to make up that full difference with this eleven billion but it certainly is a step in the right direction and it will offer some relief.”

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