Ethanol

American Soybean Association Clears Up E15 Stance as Senate Debate Intensifies

Thu, 14 May 2026 19:09:57 GMT

The House vote to expand year-round E15 on Wednesday should have been a clean policy victory lap for ethanol supporters. Instead, it’s become a multi-layered debate involving competing economic models, social media confusion, and an increasingly complicated Senate runway that may determine whether the win in the House actually translates into law.

The House narrowly passed legislation Wednesday allowing year-round sales of E15, 218 to 203, marking a major win for ethanol advocates and corn growers. But that bill also included reallocation of Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs), which some groups say made the bill more complicated than just a straight bill that would clear the way for year-round sales E15.

But even as supporters celebrate, the conversation around what’s actually in the bill, and who benefits most, has only intensified.

And according to the American Soybean Association, much of the online backlash in recent days is rooted in a misunderstanding of the legislation itself.

“We Support Year-Round E15. 100%.”

ASA CEO Stephen Censky told Farm Journal the organization is not opposed to year-round E15.

“Absolutely. We have always supported year-round E15. We think it’s positive,” Censky says.

But Censky argues the social media controversy stems not from the ethanol provision itself, but from additional language in the House bill that deals with Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs) under the Renewable Fuel Standard.

“It’s those other provisions that provide exemptions to small refineries that undermine that positivity,” he says, also noting that multiple independent analyses suggest those provisions could shift the broader farm economy in less favorable ways.

ASA Statement on House Passage of Year-Round E15 Legislation: pic.twitter.com/bbewbGSF6c
— American Soybean Association (@ASA_Soybeans) May 13, 2026

FAPRI Study Adds Fuel Ahead of Vote

One of those studies came from the University of Missouri’s Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI). Just ahead of the House vote, new modeling from FAPRI added fresh insight into the debate show that when you add in the reallocation of SREs, the House bill is a net negative for agriculture.

The analysis found that year-round E15 alone is relatively modest in its near-term market impact, largely shifting demand between corn and soybeans. But when paired with changes to Small Refinery Exemptions, the economic picture becomes more complicated.

“It takes what is really a trade-off between corn and beans and makes it an overall negative for both what the government spends and for the farm income for the sector,” says Seth Meyer, director of FAPRI.

NCGA Disputes Modeling Assumptions

After the report was released on Tuesday, groups like the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) pushed back on the recent economic analysis by both FAPRI and the CBO.

NCGA Chief Economist Krista Swanson argued that key assumptions in the studies underestimate both policy strength and adoption speed.

“Year-round E15 saves drivers money at the pump, supports America’s corn farmers and improves energy security for our country,” she says, adding that the group’s own modeling shows stronger outcomes for farm income.

ASA Pushes Back on “Corn vs. Soy” Narrative

Even though controversy swirled on social media, claiming ASA’s lack of support for the House version of the bill shows a split between corn and soybean groups, Censky rejects the idea.

“No, I mean, again, I think that comes from a misunderstanding or maybe too simplistic of looking at things,” he says. “We support year-round E15, so does NCGA.”

He points to shared support from the NCGA, while emphasizing that the disagreement centers on refinery exemption language, not ethanol blending policy itself.

“It’s those other provisions (SREs) that were attached to that bill that we have the problems with,” he says,.

Senate Outlook: A Far More Complicated Road Ahead

If the House vote represented momentum, the Senate introduces a much higher degree of uncertainty .

Washington analyst Jim Wiesemeyer says the House approval was still a meaningful breakthrough for ethanol supporters, but the path forward now runs into procedural hurdles, committee jurisdiction battles and a Senate math problem that doesn’t easily resolve.

“Senate passage remains uncertain,” Wiesemeyer notes, pointing to the fact that Clean Air Act authority tied to E15 summer sales rests largely with the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, not the Senate Ag Committee.

Wiesemeyer reports while Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) has expressed support for including year-round E15 in a broader farm bill effort, the jurisdiction split complicates the path forward. EPW Chair Shelley Moore Capito has supported compromise language similar to the House bill, but without the more controversial SRE-related reforms. Ranking Member Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), meanwhile, is expected to oppose expansion efforts tied to ethanol policy under Clean Air Act authority.

That leaves Senate Ag Chairman John Boozman (R-Ark.) in a key position, but without full control over the underlying regulatory levers.

But even Boozman was clear after the Senate vote that the House version could face resitance in teh Senate. Boozman, who akso serves as Chairman of the House Ag Committee, telling Politico the House version may not have enough support to make it through the upper chamber, saying after the vote, “I think we have a good chance to pass an E15 bill. I don’t know if it will be that one.”

Senate Ag Chair John Boozman tells @politico the House-passed E15 bill doesn’t seem likely to survive the Senate:

“I think we have a good chance to pass an E15 bill. I don't know if it will be that one.”

Reiterates he and other Rs have small and medium size refinery issues https://t.co/4suzybfgrr
— Meredith Lee Hill (@meredithllee) May 13, 2026

Even if a path emerges through committee, Wiesemeyer notes that a stand-alone bill would still need 60 votes for cloture on the Senate floor, an uphill climb given opposition from refining-state senators and lawmakers concerned about emissions, fuel volatility, and air-quality standards.

That bipartisan resistance could force supporters to consider alternative strategies.

One option, according to Wiesemeyer, is something increasingly discussed in Washington: attaching year-round E15 to a must-pass legislative vehicle later this year, such as a broader energy package, government funding bill, or end-of-year omnibus-style agreement, where controversial policy riders are often resolved in larger negotiations.

For now, Wiesemeyer’s bottom line mirrors the broader tone emerging from both the economic analysis and the policy debate: the House delivered a meaningful win for ethanol supporters, but in the Senate, the path forward is anything but settled, and the final outcome is still very much in play.

Where the Uncertainty Really Sits

Much of the debate now centers on variables that remain unresolved: how quickly E15 is adopted, how EPA interprets Renewable Fuel Standard obligations, and how aggressively Small Refinery Exemptions are implemented in practice.

Those unknowns, analysts say, will ultimately determine whether the legislation is a modest reshuffling of crop demand or a more meaningful shift in long-term farm income trends.

US House Passes Bill Allowing Year-Round Sales of E15 Gasoline

Thu, 14 May 2026 12:31:16 GMT

The U.S. House passed legislation on Wednesday that would allow nationwide year‑round sales of gasoline containing 15% ethanol, handing a major win to biofuel producers and farm groups while raising concerns among refiners about higher compliance costs.

The H.R. 1346 bill , or the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act, approved by a vote of 218 to 203, would permit fuel retailers to offer E15 year‑round, removing seasonal restrictions linked to smog concerns.

The legislation would need to pass the Senate, where it needs 60% of votes, and get a signature from President Donald Trump to be enacted.

Supporters say allowing year-round E15 sales would expand biofuel demand and help lower fuel prices that have spiked since the start of the Iran war. Critics argue it risks raising costs for refiners already facing higher compliance burdens under federal biofuel mandates.

Some lawmakers have also raised fiscal concerns, with Representative James McGovern, a Massachusetts Democrat, saying the measure will add billions to U.S. debt.

The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill would increase direct spending by $2.7 billion while raising revenues by $0.4 billion, resulting in a net deficit increase of about $2.3 billion between 2026 and 2036, based on an assumption that the legislation would take effect in August 2026.

High fuel prices due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, conduit for a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, have become a major vulnerability for President Donald Trump and his Republican party ahead of the November midterm elections.

(Reporting by Siddharth Cavale in New York; Editing by Sonali Paul)

House E15 Bill Could Boost Corn Prices While Pressuring Soybeans, FAPRI Finds

Tue, 12 May 2026 19:43:45 GMT

As the House prepares to vote on year-round E15 , there’s a new study out from the University of Missouri’s Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) , and it’s is giving agriculture and biofuels groups an early look at what expanded year-round E15 sales and changes to Small Refinery Exemptions (SRE) could mean for farmers and rural America. While there are positives for ethanol and corn demand, the report also highlights some clear tradeoffs, especially for soybean oil, biodiesel and even short-term farm income as soybeans could be negatively impacted by the House’s legislation.

According to FAPRI Director Seth Meyer, the study’s clearest takeaway is that year-round E15 alone doesn’t dramatically reshape the farm economy in the near term, but proposed changes to small refinery exemptions could pressure farm income while increasing government spending.

Meyer says the headline is pretty straightforward. The biggest market disruptions in the analysis don’t actually come from allowing year-round E15 sales. Instead, the larger economic consequences show up when the House proposal to reduce SRE reallocations gets layered into the equation.

“The key of the report is that E15 itself is not, at least in the short term, a major disruption to the market in terms of producer incomes or government costs,” Meyer says. “It becomes mostly a tradeoff between corn and soybeans.”

SRE Allocations Changes the Story

Meyer says the study found that if it was just a clean E15 bill, the results would be different. But when you factor in the SREs, and the fact it’s still unknown on how big that volume would end up being, the House version of the bill becomes a negative for the entire agriculture sector very quickly.

“I think what was important was to put out some information that says E15 in and of itself is largely, at least in the near term, a trade-off between corn and beans,” says Meyer. “It’s good for the corn part of the balance sheet, maybe a little harder on the soybean part of the ballot sheet because there are trade-offs. But then the bill also proposes small refinery exemptions that are essentially a reduction in the mandates, and that is a negative overall. That takes what is really a trade-off between corn and beans and makes it an overall negative for both what the government spends and for the farm income for the sector.”

In FAPRI’s modeling, reducing the amount of waived refinery obligations that get redistributed across the rest of the refining sector effectively lowers Renewable Fuel Standard volumes. That shift weakens biofuel feedstock demand and creates more pressure on soybean markets and farm income.

“It is the addition of the small refinery exemptions and the proposal to not reallocate 75% of those obligations that government costs we track begin to rise and farm income begins to fall,” Meyer explains. “Those SREs are the main drivers of government costs and reductions in farm income because they are, in effect, a reduction in the RVOs or mandates.”

The FAPRI analysis looked at three scenarios tied to HR 1346, the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act:

E15 expansion alone
E15 plus 600 million gallons of SRE reductions
E15 plus 900 million gallons of SRE reductions

Under the model, E15 adoption gradually grows by 0.25% annually, eventually pushing the average ethanol blend rate to 13% by 2035. That increase would add roughly 2 billion gallons of domestic ethanol use by the mid-2030s, while simultaneously changing the balance between ethanol and biomass-based diesel under the RFS structure.

What Happens to Corn and Soybeans?

FAPRI’s findings show E15 expansion boosts corn demand and corn acreage over time. By 2035, corn prices rise about 14 cents per bushel versus baseline levels, with additional corn acres pulled into production as ethanol demand expands.

But, according to the report, the gains for corn do not translate evenly across the broader crop sector. As ethanol demand rises, biomass-based diesel demand weakens, which directly pressures soybean oil values and eventually soybean prices. That’s especially true under the SRE scenarios, where lower mandated renewable fuel volumes further reduce demand for biodiesel feedstocks.

“So while corn may benefit, a reduction in the RVO has negative implications for soybeans that outweigh those corn benefits,” Meyer explains.

The report projects soybean prices could fall between 38 and 43 cents per bushel by 2035, depending on the SRE scenario. Soybean acreage also trends lower throughout the projection period as acres shift toward corn production.

Meanwhile, soybean oil prices take an even larger hit because biodiesel absorbs much of the downside under reduced RFS obligations. Meyer says that dynamic is rooted in how current mandates are being met today.

“You see bio-based diesel decline in all cases because, at the moment, the majority of the marginal gallons to meet the mandates are biodiesel,” Meyer says. “If you expand the small refinery exemptions, those volume reductions are no longer a tradeoff between ethanol and bio-based diesel, but a reduction in the marginal gallon, which is bio-based diesel.”

Farm Income Turns Negative Before Recovering

One of the more notable findings in the study is that net farm income trends negative for several years under the SRE scenarios before eventually recovering later in the outlook period. While stronger corn demand helps offset some losses, it isn’t enough in the early years to counter the broader drag from weaker soybean and bio-based diesel markets.

Under the larger 900-million-gallon SRE scenario, net farm income falls by as much as $1 billion annually during the early 2030s before improving later in the decade. FAPRI also projects higher government outlays under the SRE scenarios as weaker commodity prices trigger additional farm program support.

Meyer says soybean losses are the biggest driver behind the weaker farm income projections. He also notes that ripple effects extend into livestock feeding costs because of tighter soybean meal supplies and higher corn demand.

“The notable driver in the outcome is the losses for soybeans as the SREs cut mandates,” he adds.

The livestock sector also sees higher feed costs as corn demand rises and soybean meal supplies tighten. Over time, those higher feed costs work their way through animal agriculture and eventually impact consumer meat prices as producers adjust inventories and production decisions.

Key Points From the Study

E15 expansion alone modestly boosts corn demand with relatively limited disruption to overall farm income.
Reduced SRE reallocation lowers effective RFS mandates and creates the largest negative impacts on crop receipts and government outlays.
Biomass-based diesel demand declines more sharply than ethanol demand under the proposed changes.
Corn acreage rises while soybean acreage falls across all scenarios.
The long-term outcome depends heavily on how quickly E15 adoption actually happens — and whether EPA eventually expands the conventional ethanol “gap” above 15 billion gallons.

That final point may be one of the biggest wildcards in the entire discussion, said Meyer. FAPRI’s analysis assumes the conventional ethanol portion of the Renewable Fuel Standard effectively remains capped near 15 billion gallons. If EPA policy or future legislation allows that cap to move higher, the economics for agriculture could look considerably different.

“You call out a very important assumption,” Meyer says. “If the passage of E15 were to drive an expansion of that 15-billion-gallon conventional gap to 16 or 17 billion gallons and raise total mandates by that same amount, this would increase benefits or reduce losses in the ag sector across all the scenarios.”

Corn Growers React, Disagrees With “Two Fundamental Assumptions”

The recent analyses examining the potential impacts of year-round E15 adoption are drawing sharp disagreement from the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA), which says key assumptions in those models undercut the policy’s real-world effects.

In response to the reports, Krista Swanson, NCGA’s chief economist, argued that the studies fail to account for recent federal biofuel policy changes and underestimate how quickly E15 could be adopted in the marketplace.

“We disagree with two fundamental assumptions with recent analyses related to year-round E15 adoption: they do not factor in the historically high final RVO volumes recently set for biomass-based diesel and they assume slower E15 adoption than industry projections,” Swanson says.

Swanson added that NCGA’s own modeling reaches a very different conclusion on the policy’s impact on farm income and fuel markets.

“NCGA has also conducted its own analysis of year-round E15 and all outcomes point in the same direction: E15 strengthens corn demand and farm income for corn farmers, most of whom also raise soybeans. Year-round E15 saves drivers money at the pump, supports America’s corn farmers and improves energy security for our country. H.R. 1346 deserves a yes vote.”

The Biggest Unknowns

Meyer says there are still several major uncertainties surrounding both E15 adoption and how EPA ultimately implements future RFS obligations. Those unknowns could significantly alter how these market impacts unfold over the next decade.

“I don’t think there is a single assumption on this complicated issue, so let me state three,” he adds. “First is the true path of E15 expansion and more importantly, the second is how that might drive changes in mandates as a result. Third, what is the true volume of exemptions that would result from the legislation? Because we don’t have this information, we did two scenarios.”

The pace of actual consumer adoption also matters. While the model assumes gradual E15 growth over time, Meyer says a slower adoption curve would likely soften some of the corn demand benefits while making the negative impacts tied to SRE reductions more apparent.

“If growth in E15 is slower and we look just at the ‘clean’ E15, it just changes the amount of tradeoffs between corn and soybeans,” Meyer said. “But if we had slower E15 growth with SRE reductions, we would show more negative impacts on crop prices and farm income from the SREs.”

Year-Round E15 Faces Vote In The House This Week

Mon, 11 May 2026 19:21:27 GMT

This week, the House is expected to take a vote on legislation to allow year-round E-15.

In the latest schedule published by House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, HR 1356, Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act of 2025 (Sponsored by Rep. Smith (NE) / Energy and Commerce Committee) is on the calendar for Wednesday. This may be the last hurdle to enable more widespread sales of the fuel blend that includes 15% ethanol, which is compatible for use in 96% of cars on the road today.

Temporary Waivers Have Been A Band Aid

The legislation could bring clarity and predictability to issue that has been dealt with piecemeal solutions. There’s been the “summertime ban” on E15, which is typically restricted from June 1 to September 15 due to outdated volatility regulations under the Clean Air Act. Proponents argued that the Farm Bill was a natural home for the policy to support corn growers and lower fuel prices.

Earlier this year, the EPA issued an emergency waiver allowing for summer sales of E15. While it gave some certainty of E15 availability for the time being, the temporary waivers didn’t meet the threshold of industry advocates.

Then, more recently, year-round E15 was included in the Farm Bill but was stripped out before vote. The goal was to provide a permanent legislative fix, which has iterated to become the pending action on legislation this week.

Standalone Legislation

H.R. 1356 has industry and farm group support. The American Farm Bureau Federation highlights:

E15—also sold as Unleaded 88—can save drivers 10–30¢ per gallon while supporting rural jobs and retain energy dollars in the U.S.
Expanding access to E15 could increase corn demand by up to 2.4 billion bushels annually.

Growth Energy, the nation’s largest biofuel trade association, announced now more than 5,000 retail locations sell E15. This milestone comes after a 15% to 24% increase annually in the number of stores selling E15 since 2020.

“An important part of this legislation is to finalize the rule making that clears the air on infrastructure,” says Emily Skor CEO of Growth Energy. “It would kind of grandfather in some of the underground storage so that it’s easier for a retailer to just simply say ‘I want to start offering this’ and not have to change our infrastructure or invest in infrastructure.”

Fuel retailers sold nearly 2.5 billion gallons of E15 in 2025. Skor adds her group expects to see 1,200 more locations add E15 in 2026, and if Congress allows year-round sales, that number will be “exponential growth.”

According to the American Farm Bureau Federation, which has initiated a member alert for grassroots action, “This is a critical moment for farmers and rural communities. Year-round E15 is a market-driven, no-cost solution that increases demand for U.S. corn, strengthens farm income, lowers gas prices, and improves America’s energy independence.”

Will it Get Passed?

Skor says the issue has been punted twice, but unlike previous efforts the standalone bill is proceeding differently because it’s the first time the House has got to vote on just this issue.

“There’s mounting pressure to get something done and take action,” Skor says. “My attitude is one step at a time. If we get a successful–I’ll say when we get a successful House vote–it will help us, because it will signal to the Senate the House does support it and it can be done.”

She adds, “Our opposition is small, but they’re spreading a false narrative. So we really have to get in there and educate people. At the end of the day, for those people if they may not be swayed by the importance of this to the farm economy, they’ve got to be swayed by the price savings at a time when gas prices are at a four year high.”

White House Sets Record Biofuel Volumes for 2026 and 2027

Fri, 27 Mar 2026 18:36:32 GMT

In the 20th year of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program, the White House has established the renewable fuel volume requirements for 2026 and 2027 at the highest levels in program history. The Set 2 final rule, announced at the White House Great American Agriculture Celebration in front of 650 invited attendees, realigns the program with Congress’ intent to increase the use of homegrown American biofuels.

“Today’s announcement is truly historic for our nation’s farmers and energy producers. These numbers represent the highest levels of biofuels ever required to be blended into our fuel supply,” says Brooke Rollins, Secretary of Agriculture. “With President Trump and Administrator Zeldin’s leadership, these historically high volumes are expected to create a $3 to $4 billion increase in net farm income. The Renewable Fuel Standard Set 2 Rule will create a $31 billion dollar value for American corn and soybean oil for biofuel production in 2026, which is $2 billion more than in 2025. Our farmers are stepping up to grow American energy dominance.”

Just this week, EPA renewed emergency waivers for E15 gasoline sales during the summer driving season.

What Does the Set 2 Final Rule Mean for Farmers

To meet the 2026 and 2027 volume levels, EPA estimates biodiesel and renewable diesel production and use will need to increase by more than 60% versus 2025 volumes. The increase was above the initial proposal.

“The proposal that we saw nine months ago was extremely robust,” explained Kurt Kovarik of the Clean Fuels Alliance America. “In fact, our industry, along with the petroleum sector and the soybean growers, asked for a volume requirement for 2026 of 5.25 billion gallons. They proposed 5.61 billion gallons. And today’s proposal is right in that neighborhood between 5.5 to perhaps as high as 5.6 or 5.7. There’s a little bit of math yet that needs to be done.”

He said that in 2025, biodiesel and renewable diesel facilities were forced to shut down or run far below prior-year production levels due to market uncertainty. U.S. biodiesel production declined by one-third in 2025, compared to 2024.

“Biodiesel and renewable diesel represent 10% of the value of every bushel of U.S.-grown soybeans, contributing to President Trump’s desire for American energy dominance and domestic market demand for agriculture commodities,” said Kovarik. “American farmers and other feedstock providers are eager for the growing domestic clean fuel market to drive value in agriculture, along with economic growth and job creation in rural communities. American consumers are desperate for secure, affordable domestic energy. Today’s rule is a clear win for the nation’s energy security.”

With the benefits Set 2 will bring to America’s farmers, EPA estimates the rule will generate more than $10 billion for rural economies and create more than 100,000 new jobs in the agricultural and manufacturing sectors. To provide continued certainty for American corn growers and ethanol producers, EPA will maintain the 15 billion conventional biofuel level for 2026 and 2027.

Based on EPA’s latest release on March 27

(EPA)

What are Renewable Volume Obligations?

RVOs are targets set by EPA to determine how much renewable fuel must be blended into the U.S. transportation fuel supply. EPA determines the total volume of different categories of biofuels that should be used in the country for multi-year periods. Once decided, EPA converts the total volumes into percentage standards, which represent the ratio of renewable fuel to the total amount of gasoline and diesel expected to be consumed in the U.S. that year.

Each “obligated party,” typically refiners and importers of gasoline and diesel, calculates its RVO by multiplying EPA’s percentage standards by the total volume of non-renewable gasoline and diesel they produce or import. To prove they have met their RVO, obligated parties must use a serial number attached to each gallon of biofuel, known as Renewable Identification Numbers (RINs). When the biofuel is blended into the fuel supply, the RIN is “separated” from the physical fuel.

At the end of the compliance year, obligated parties must submit to EPA enough RINs to cover their specific RVO. If a refiner blends more biofuel than required, they can sell their excess RINs to other refiners who have not met their obligations.

Adjusted Small Refinery Exemptions

The EPA also finalized the reallocation of the volumes from Small Refinery Exemptions from 2023 through 2025. Those are now set at 70%.

“Adding it to the top line volume for 2026 and 2027, the volumes that were waived over those three years will be made up in 2026 and 2027,” Kovarik. “For our industry, that’s somewhere between an additional 200 to 250 million gallons a year.”

He says that is on top of the already robust minimum volume that EPA set. The agency claims the RFS rule will create $31 billion in value for American corn and soybean oil.

Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) President and CEO Geoff Cooper noted that while they advocated for full reallocation of the 2023-2025 SREs, the 70 percent reallocation included in today’s rule is better than other options that were under consideration. EPA had proposed 50 percent reallocation as an option and also solicited public feedback on no reallocation at all.

“We continue to believe small refinery exemptions are completely unjustified, and the SRE petition process—including EPA’s reliance on the Department of Energy’s ‘scoring matrix'—is fundamentally flawed,” Cooper said. “SREs distort the market, undermine fair competition, and destabilize the RFS program. And while RFA appreciates EPA’s efforts to minimize market disruptions by reallocating most of the renewable volume lost to SREs, we believe the Agency has a duty to fully restore all exempted volumes.”

RVO Reaction Pours In

The Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) and other farm groups applaud the RVO announcement from EPA.

“Today’s RFS rule supports continued growth in American-made renewable fuels like ethanol and brings much-needed certainty and stability to the marketplace,” said RFA on X.com .

Today’s RFS rule supports continued growth in American-made renewable fuels like #ethanol and brings much-needed certainty and stability to the marketplace. We are grateful to @POTUS and @epaleezeldin.https://t.co/FdovzBqLUr
— Renewable Fuels Association (@EthanolRFA) March 27, 2026

“Congress intended year-to-year renewable fuel blending to increase under the RFS and today’s announcement with the highest-ever volume obligations helps fulfill their intention,” said Brian Jennings, CEO for American Coalition for Ethanol. “We’ve consistently advocated for strong final blending obligations for 2026 and 2027, reflecting the full potential of the RFS and ensuring small refinery exemptions (SREs) do not erode demand for renewable fuels.”

Jennings says the integrity of the RFS depends on ensuring volume obligations translate into real-world demand. Any gap between required volumes and actual blending undermines the program and creates uncertainty for ethanol producers, farmers, and rural communities.

“We appreciate President Trump, Administrator Zeldin and Secretary Rollins for delivering strong RVO volumes and doing so in a way that recognizes the importance of American farmers,” said NSP Chair Amy France, a farmer from Scott City, Kan. “These volumes provide critical certainty for sorghum producers and help strengthen demand across the biofuels sector.”

NSP also highlighted EPA’s decision to reallocate 70 percent of previously exempted volumes, helping ensure that promised demand is realized.

“Maintaining the integrity of the Renewable Fuel Standard is essential,” France said. “Reallocating those gallons helps protect the market opportunities farmers depend on. We need to build on this momentum and get year-round E15 across the finish line.”

Ohio farmer and National Corn Growers Association President Jed Bower, who was present at the White House for the announcement, also weighed in on the latest volumes.

“Our deep thanks go to President Trump and Administrator Zeldin for releasing these robust RVO numbers in an exceptionally timely manner and, appropriately, during an event honoring America’s farmers. This action provides certainty to corn farmers across the country who rely on a stable biofuels industry. Today’s announcement, coupled with the Trump administration’s E15 summertime waiver earlier this week, is a positive move for the nation’s corn growers who are navigating an exceptionally difficult economic environment. There is still more to be done to help our growers, and we look forward to working side-by-side with the president and our allies in Congress to get permanent year-round E15 legislation over the finish line.”

Fuel and Fertilizer Costs Surge

While there’s hope that embracing biofuels can help bolster the farm economy and lower prices at the pump, farmers are feeling the fallout of higher oil prices. According to AAA on Friday, the national average for a gallon of diesel fuel was $5.38. That’s nearly $2 per gallon higher than it was just a year ago, and it’s happening right as farmers gear up for the spring planting season.

“To help lower gasoline prices for farmers and consumers, this week, I issued an emergency order to allow immediate sales of E-15 — and just as I promised in the campaign, I’m seeking Congressional action to allow E-15 all-year-round,” said President Trump.

Fertilizer prices are also significantly higher in the last few weeks. While some farmers pre-applied acres last fall and others bought earlier in 2026, there are still a number of acres left to cover.

EPA Announces Waivers to Allow Summertime E15 Use

Thu, 26 Mar 2026 18:01:08 GMT

The Environmental Protection Agency on Wednesday announced emergency waivers to allow summertime sales of E15.

EPA administrator Lee Zeldin making the announcement at this year’s CERA Week, major energy conference in Houston.

Troy Bredenkamp, senior vice president of government and public affairs with the Renewable Fuels Association says since 2022, EPA has used an emergency waiver each year by way of the Clean Air Act to allow gas stations to sell E15 fuel in the summer months starting May 1.

However, at least the waivers are coming early this year.

“We are going to have emergency waivers for E15 this summer. This announcement is coming probably at least a month ahead of where it usually comes and that’s on purpose, you know, with all the turmoil in the Middle East,” he explains.

The early waivers will avoid the problems they saw last summer with fuel blends that caused fuel disruptions.

“Getting this out early is very positive. The refiners want to have it earlier. We want to have it earlier. The marketplace, the retailers want to have it earlier,” he says.

E10 Emergency Waivers
EPA also announced E10 emergency waivers for the seven Midwest states that already had E15 waivers to remove all federal impediments to selling E10 and provide parody for the two ethanol blends.

According to Bredenkamp, “If they give an E15 waiver for the summer driving season in those seven states, you wouldn’t have a waiver necessarily for E10. So, they have to in those seven states grant an emergency waiver for E10 as well in order to keep maximum fuel fungeability within all fuel pumps within the United States.”

E15 Legislation Needed
However, emergency waivers can’t replace a permanent Congressional fix.

So, farm state lawmakers hope for passage of an E15 bill to make this the last year for the emergency waivers including Sen. Joni Ernst - Iowa (R).

“We’ve done this for a number of years and it’s kind of the same old same old and I am grateful for the waiver. I think that is very important to be able to offer uh the product the way we do through those summer months. But we really do need the administration to assist us with this,” she says.

Ernst says the biggest hurdle for passage is still the refiners and she’s talked to leadership in the administration to urge President Trump to signal to small and mid-level refineries that E15 needs to happen.

E15 a Win Win
Bredenkamp says permanent law would provide certainty for the ethanol industry.

“That would resolve the Midwest state opt- out issue. That would resolve year- round E15. Everyone would know what the game plan is every year moving forward. retailers would have the market certainty that they need to offer it. the corn growers would have uh a demand driver moving forward. That’s what everyone needs.”

And Ernst says consumers would also win at the pump.

“Especially as we see sky high levels of fuel prices. We know we can drop that immediately with E15.”

Meanwhile, EPA is also expected to announce enhanced RVOS or biofuels blending standards by the end of March or even as early as this Friday’s White House Celebration of Ag, which will also help out at the gas pump.

ARA Supports EPA’s Emergency Fuel Waiver and Urges Permanent Year-Round E15.

Wed, 25 Mar 2026 23:40:31 GMT

The Agricultural Retailers Association (ARA) applauds the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s emergency fuel waiver allowing nationwide summer sales of E15 and easing boutique fuel requirements to strengthen fuel supply, help stabilize prices at the pump, and support rural communities across the country.

“For agricultural retailers and the rural economies they serve, access to lower-cost domestically produced energy is critical,” ARA President & CEO Daren Coppock said. “The Administration’s temporary waiver to allow nationwide sale of E15 supports demand for domestically produced ethanol and helps ensure reliable fuel supply during peak driving season.”

While the Administration’s waiver offers near term relief, temporary actions fall short of providing the certainty rural businesses and farmers need to plan, invest, and grow.

ARA continues to strongly support permanent, year-round E15 nationwide to deliver long term clarity for retailers, consumers, and American farmers. A durable solution would strengthen the agricultural economy, increase market access for corn growers, and reduce uncertainty that disproportionately impacts rural fuel infrastructure.

ARA urges Congress to act and encourages stakeholders to participate in its grassroots advocacy opportunity here, calling for permanent year-round E15 availability

USDA Forecasts Significant Drop in U.S. Ag Trade Deficit as Exports Rise

Fri, 27 Feb 2026 21:24:45 GMT

USDA now projects the U.S. agricultural trade deficit will narrow to $29B in FY2026 , down from about $50B a year ago. Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg says the trade team isn’t done yet.

(Data: USDA)

“Our goal is to get back to surplus, but going from $50 billion (forecasted) to $29 billion in one year shows tremendous progress, 43% down over this time last year, and we’re continuing to make good progress on seeing that drop even further,” Lindberg says.

Exports rising

Three areas with notable increases in exports by year-end of 2025 include:

Dairy exports up 15%
Ethanol exports up 11%
Corn exports up 29%

Simply put, the U.S. ag trade balance is export value minus import value. Lindberg says the export side of the equation is where his team can make the most impact.

“We’ve seen great opportunities as our producers can take new advantage of some of these trade deals the president has put in place. So, the stat that I love to say right now is over half the world’s population and over half the world’s GDP have come to some kind of a trade agreement with the president in his first year in office. That’s a lot of mouths to feed and a lot of dollars that can be buying U.S. products.”

In recent decades, the U.S. maintained a positive trade balance up until 2020 when the surpluses were much smaller or became deficits.

How USDA says it will push exports

To build back trade, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins’ team is sticking to a three-point plan:

Get better trade agreements.
Build willing buyer and willing seller relationships.
Hold trading partners accountable.

“Our team and our friends over at the U.S. Trade Representative’s Office have done a tremendous job opening up market access with our dealmaker-in-chief, President Donald J. Trump. Our team at USDA plays an outsized role in getting our farmers and ranchers out there to sell their products. I refer to it as building buyer-seller relationships. And so we’re aggressively approaching that this year, with getting our farmers and ranchers and our agribusinesses on the ground in these countries where they have market access today that they didn’t have yesterday,” he says.

Trade missions: 2026 schedule and priorities

To continue to build trade relations and boost exports, Lindberg points to the traditional USDA agribusiness trade missions ( of which there are six scheduled in 2026 ), and the rapid response trade missions called TRUMP missions (Trade Reciprocity for U.S. Manufacturers and Producers).

“We really do have a robust, aggressive schedule this year to make sure we’re quickly getting into these markets that the president has unlocked,” he says. “We need market access. We need to be able to compete on a fair and level playing field to export our products around the world.”

Domestic angle: imports, tariffs, and “level playing field”

As for the domestic demand of ag products, and potentially reducing the value of agricultural imports, Lindberg says farmers should also have a level playing field stateside.

“Our farmers and ranchers now have a better playing field, both overseas, where we’re taking down trade barriers, but also here domestically, through the President’s aggressive use of tariffs and the way in which he has restructured the opportunities that exist domestically for our farmers. And we’re seeing that in the trade data, where on a dollar-for-dollar basis, we’re going to be importing a significant amount less this year than we did even last year. And what that does is it means more Americans, more of their dollars are going towards food that is produced, consumed, slaughtered, raised, processed, right here in the United States of America, and I think that’s a win as well.”

The next agribusiness trade mission is to the Philippines.

What the Treasury’s Announcement on 45Z Tax Credits Means to Farmers

Tue, 03 Feb 2026 22:56:55 GMT

On Feb. 3, the Treasury Department confirmed farmers will have a seat at the table to benefit from 45Z tax credits with its release of a 170-page document stating its proposed rule.

“They made a bunch of clarifications for the biofuel producers today — who qualifies, what qualifies, how to calculate and how to register,” says Mitchell Hora, an Iowa farmer and founder of Continuum Ag. “It says farmers are going to a have a seat at the table, too, which is what we’ve been advocating for this whole time.”

There have been questions over the past nearly four years since 45Z was first proposed as a biofuel producer tax credit based on carbon intensity of feedstocks. It’s had iterations through the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, and now the Trump administration’s “One Big Beautiful Bill.”

As written in the proposed rule, biofuels feedstocks would be limited to be sourced from the U.S., Canada and Mexico.

“Clearly, the Treasury has been very concerned about foreign feedstock, especially foreign used coconut oil and palm oil,” Hora says.

For farmers, three big questions remain.

1. What’s the model used to calculate carbon intensity?

Before today’s announcement, there were two competing models, one from the Department of Energy (known as GREET) and one from USDA announced last January. Today, the Treasury confirmed it’ll be a model from USDA, though it’s a new version now called 45Z FD-CIC.

“It’s going to be something different altogether, which is a combo of the two,“ Hora says. “We don’t know all the details yet, but we know they are going to utilize the language from USDA regarding verification, traceability and audits.”

Hora expects the model to use ag practices in its calculations, including cover crops, reduced tillage, fertilizer efficiency, manure and yield.

As for when the final USDA-driven 45Z FD-CIC will be released, Hora says ‘hopefully soon.’

2. Which chain of custody methodology will be used?

Hora is advocating for book and claim, which he says is more straightforward and would allow a farmer to sell their crop based on the carbon intensity (CI) score of a field, avoiding identity preservation or blending. The alternative is mass balance.

“The big thing that we want to see happen in the USDA rules is that the farmer data should be accounted for via a book and claim,” he says.

3. How much is this worth to the farmer?

Hora says today’s announcement clarifies a lot of the rule for the biofuels producer, which is the recipient of the tax credit. How much of that value will be shared with the farmer is still unknown.

“We’ve shown that farmers could contribute an average CI reduction of 18 CI points, which could translate to pretty substantial value, upwards of close to a dollar a bushel,” he says. “That’s to the ethanol plant, though. The biofuel producer gets the money. A farmer would get a portion of that, and we don’t know how the pie is going to be split, but the total pie that the farmers could contribute to, under the current models, the math ends up being $1.08 per bushel.”

While today’s announcement doesn’t mean money will start moving, Hora says we’re closer than ever to having opportunities for farmers.

Moving Forward With What is Known

Hora says while those questions have yet to be answered, he knows record keeping is paramount to seize on the opportunity. As such, he’s encouraging farmers to get their field-level data in order, including as applied maps, receipts, shape files, aerial imagery, etc.

“At least we got clarity today that this thing is going to happen. [There’s] still a process ahead, but farmers have a seat at the table. It’s a huge day for American ag,” Hora says.

Industry groups reacted in support of the Treasury’s proposed rule.

“Treasury’s proposal is a definite step in the right direction and will allow corn growers to transition into and supply the aviation sector,” Ohio farmer and National Corn Growers Association President Jed Bower says in a news release. “Being able to fuel commercial planes with fuel derived from corn would be important to the long-term economic viability of farming. After today we are one step closer to that possibility.”

The American Soybean Association (ASA) and the National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) sent a joint release emphasizing how the 45Z rule should be in conjunction with a final Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) blend target announcement.

“Updating federal biofuel policies to prioritize soy-based fuels is a key ASA priority, and we applaud Treasury for this action which will help build domestic markets for U.S. soybeans,” says Scott Metzger, ASA president and Ohio farmer. “While Treasury’s work to update tax guidance is critical, ASA strongly urges the administration to immediately finalize RFS blending targets that complement the work of Treasury and Congress, by setting robust biofuel volumes and implementing new policies that will prioritize the utilization of U.S. soybeans in production.”

“These policies work hand in hand,” says Devin Mogler, NOPA president and CEO. “Treasury’s updated 45Z guidance is an important step forward, but it must be reinforced by finalizing the RFS as proposed. A strong RFS that includes the import RIN reduction mechanism is critical to putting American farmers and rural manufacturing first and providing the certainty our industry needs to continue to invest and grow so we can crush more soybeans right here in the U.S.”

What President Trump's Support Means for E15 and Corn Farmers

Thu, 29 Jan 2026 16:40:29 GMT

While speaking in Clive, Iowa, on Tuesday , the president said the passage of E15 will happen.

“I did. I promised E15 year-round if I got elected,” he said. “I want to let you know we’ll start right now.”

Trump said he is trusting House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune to broker a deal in Congress.

“We’ve got it for farmers, consumers and refiners, including small and midsize refiners. In other words, to get E15 approved, and they’re working on it, they’re very close to getting it done. I just wanted to let you know that,” he added.

President Would Sign E15 Bill Immediately

USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins said in a press release Tuesday evening that “yet again President Trump is honoring his commitment to America’s farmers and energy producers today in Iowa by announcing his support for the nationwide year-round sale of E15. As Congress continues to work through the details, the president has been clear — get a bill that allows nationwide E15 to his desk, and he will sign it to unleash American homegrown row crops for biofuels use like never before.”

Iowa Biofuels Groups Say President’s Support is Critical

Iowa biofuels groups, including the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (IRFA), took out ads and wrote President Trump a letter prior to his visit to urge his support for E15. IRFA executive director Monte Shaw says the president directing Congress to get E15 done could be the key to finally getting it passed.

“He said he would sign it without delay. We think that was key. There are branches of government, you know the president is not Congress and Congress is not the president. But when he calls up the congressional leaders and says, ‘Hey, I want to get something done’, it’s usually gotten done and got to his desk,” Shaw says.

Legislative Path for E15

Shaw says the legislative path for E15 could be a delayed spending bill, or even a stand-alone bill, since the newly formed E15 council has been given a deadline of Feb. 15 to bring back a deal, with the hope of passage by Feb. 28.

“They did a rule that created the E15 council to keep working on it. This was before President Trump weighed in, and it gave them a date certain for a vote,” Shaw says.

Even if approved, Shaw admits the market impact won’t be felt overnight. But in five to seven years, E15 could mean another 2.4 billion bushels of corn usage annually, and the impact on corn prices could be substantial.

“Two billion bushels is not a small number, but I think people need to understand it won’t happen overnight. Even as penetration starts to grow, you start to grind a lot of corn very quickly,” he adds.

Iowa Farmers Speak To Trump

Kevin Ross, past National Corn Growers Association president, spoke directly with President Trump about E15 at the Machine Shed restaurant. He felt the president was listening.

“He’s said E15 more times in that setting than he has since probably back at the rally down at the [Southwest Iowa Renewable Energy] ethanol plant. I think he’s definitely focused on getting this across the finish line, doing what he can do and that’s really good to see,” Ross says.

He is excited about the possibility of E15 passage and what it could eventually mean for increased demand.

“I would assume the market’s going to take things positively, which we desperately need,” Ross says.

Trump Confirms Support for Year-Round E-15 Deal

Tue, 27 Jan 2026 23:18:12 GMT

President Donald Trump made a planned visit to Iowa — his first since July 2025 — on Tuesday, focusing on affordability, saying Iowa families are “winning” again under his leadership. Standing in front of a packed crowd in Clive, Iowa, with signs posted on the stage and scattered throughout the crowd that said “lower prices” and “bigger paychecks,” the visit unofficially kicked off the midterm elections where costs for consumers are expected to be one of the main political talking points.

While in Iowa, President Trump highlighted what the White House calls improving economic conditions for Iowa families, pointing to lower fuel prices, tax savings and agriculture-driven growth as signs the state is “winning again.” The President touted all the trade wins, including China buying soybeans and the EU agreeing to buy U.S. ethanol. He says by removing those trade barriers, exports are starting to flow to countries that had stopped buying U.S. ag goods before he took office.

But the reality is agriculture is at a crossroads, especially on the row crop side. Even with the recent trade deals, current economic pressures are creating a crisis in agriculture. Trump did briefly mention that crisis, blaming it on former President Joe Biden.

Trump Pushes Year-Round E15 During Iowa Visit

During his speech in Iowa, President Trump reaffirmed his campaign promise to support year-round E15, signaling a major win for corn growers and the ethanol industry.

“But I’m also working hard to expand your markets domestically,” Trump says. “In the campaign, I promised to support E15 all year round. I did. E15 all year round if I get elected, and I want to let you know, we’ll start right now.”

The statement sparked applause as Trump emphasized that efforts are underway in Congress to finalize approval, calling on House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Leader John Thune to deliver a deal that benefits farmers, consumers, and refiners, including small and mid-sized operations.

“I’m trusting Speaker Mike Johnson, who’s great, and Leader John Thune, who’s great, to find a deal that works. They’re very close to getting it done,” he says. “And I will sign it without delay.”

The president framed year-round E15 as a key part of his broader strategy to expand markets for U.S. corn, support rural communities, and strengthen domestic energy production.

🚨 BREAKING: President Trump announces Congress is actively working on a deal to allow E15 ALL YEAR ROUND that works for farmers, consumers, & refiners.

"Congress is working on a deal, and when they send it to my desk — I will sign it without delay."pic.twitter.com/TOpo3VUDI4
— The White House (@WhiteHouse) January 27, 2026

Trump Highlights “Historic Turnaround” for U.S. Manufacturing, Touts Deere’s Stock Hitting All-Time High

During his Iowa visit, President Trump touted what he called a historic one-year economic turnaround, pointing to manufacturing growth and new investments across the country.

“And America is respected all over the world like they’ve never been respected,” Trump says. “I thought it would take us two years. This has been the most dramatic one-year turnaround of any country in history in terms of the speed.”

Trump spotlighted John Deere as an example of American manufacturing success. He welcomed the company’s chairman at the event and praised the expansion of production facilities, including what he called two massive new plants.

“You’re opening one in North Carolina, one someplace else, and then you’re expanding all over the place. You’re doing a great job,” he says. “I bought a lot of John Deere stuff. Great country, great company, it’s an honor to have you here.”

The president attributed much of the growth to tariffs and economic policies aimed at attracting investment back to the U.S.

“It is because of tariffs and it is also because of the fact that we had such a tremendous November 5th. That November 5 brought spirit back to our country,” Trump says.

Trump then said that proof in the growth is in the stock market’s performance, including Deere stock hitting an all-time high of 529.51 on January 21, 2026.

But with strains in the farm economy, farm equipment sales saw a steep decline in 2025. Deere and Company, which has a large footprint in the Quad Cities and Des Moines, has laid off over 3,500 employees since October 2023. That downsizing, which the company says is driven by decreasing demand and lower sales, has hit the company’s manufacturing facilities hard, including locations in Waterloo and Ankeny.

John Deere Expands U.S. Manufacturing with Two New Facilities

President Trump highlighted John Deere’s plans to open two major U.S. facilities, marking a significant boost for American manufacturing and rural jobs. The president saying Deere’s decision was due to tariffs.

After the president’s remarks, the company sent out a press release, with John Deere announcing a major expansion with two new U.S. facilities coming soon to the U.S .

Dere says it will build:

A state-of-the-art distribution center near Hebron, Indiana, and a $70 million excavator factory in Kernersville, North Carolina, both set to open within the next year.
The North Carolina factory will bring excavator production back from Japan to the U.S., making John Deere the top domestic producer of excavators.

Together, Deere says the projects are expected to create hundreds of new American jobs, strengthen local economies, and advance John Deere’s commitment to $20 billion in U.S. manufacturing investments over the next decade.

John Deere executives emphasized the expansion as a continuation of their mission to “build America”, enhance innovation, and support the nation’s agriculture, construction, and manufacturing sectors.

The Strong Push for E15 to Help Turn The Ag Economy Around

As corn growers pressed for year-round E15 ahead of the president’s visit, ethanol advocates say the issue is no longer about executive action. It’s about Congress finishing the job.

Emily Skor, CEO of Growth Energy, says the Trump administration has already taken every step available to it through regulatory action.

Leading into Tuesday’s talk, biofuels leaders pushed for the president to focus on E15, saying rural America’s financial stress is colliding with a narrow policy window to get things like E15 done, and that could generate more demand, quickly changing the outlook for corn and soybean growers.

“What we hear from the team around the president is he did what he could,” Skor told Chip Flory during “AgriTalk” on Tuesday. “He issued an executive order. EPA gave us the summer waivers for last summer. We all know that what we need right now is an act of Congress.”

Skor says the White House wants lawmakers to deliver a bill that can be signed into law and end the seasonal E15 debate for good.

“The conversation has to be ‘Congress, do your job,’” she says. “The White House wants to see Congress get something done so they can bring a bill to his desk, so he can sign it and we can be done with this once and for all.”

That urgency is being echoed across agriculture, she says.

“I’ve got CEOs of all kinds of agriculture trade groups calling me saying: ‘What can we do to be helpful? We’ve got to get this done,’” Skor says. “All of agriculture is supportive of this.”

Iowa’s Reality: Corn Prices Below Cost of Production

Ahead of Trump’s second visit to Iowa in less than a year, corn growers and renewable fuels advocates used the moment to renew pressure for nationwide, year-round access to E15. Corn groups say the timing is critical, as lawmakers continue to stall on permanent E15 access despite strong Midwestern support. To make the push even more visible, Iowa Corn and the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (IRFA) released an open letter on Tuesday , thanking the president for his past support of E15 and urging him to help push the policy across the finish line in Congress, while also running a full-page ad in Tuesday’s “Des Moines Register”.

ICGA and @iowafuel today released an open letter thanking @POTUS for his constant support of nationwide, year-round #E15 and asking for his help to finally push E15 access through Congress @realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/cxACXijKMN
— Iowa Corn (@iowa_corn) January 26, 2026

According to the letter, corn growers across the country, and especially in Iowa, are struggling as prices remain well below the cost of production. That pressure, they say, is rippling through the broader state economy.

The groups cite recent data from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, which ranked Iowa 50th among states for economic growth. They say expanding E15 is one of the fastest ways to reverse that trend.

“The best way to boost corn prices and create meaningful market demand is the immediate authorization of nationwide, year-round E15,” the letter states.

After Trump’s announcement on Tuesday, saying a deal is close, Iowa Corn Growers Association Vice President and farmer from Knoxville, Iowa, Steve Kuiper, expressed Iowa Corn’s appreciation, while highlighting what this could mean for farmers at a critical time.

“Iowa’s corn growers appreciate President Trump shining light on E15 and recognizing the weight this legislation holds to us as corn growers. Farmers are struggling with low commodity prices, high input costs and lack of markets. Passage of year-round E15 is the lifeline many of us need to be able to continue farming,” says Kuiper. “A recent study by Iowa Corn and the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association shared the positive effects year-round E15 would mean for corn growers. This is a goal we have been working towards for over a decade and getting this issue to the president’s desk and across the finish line is a win we all desperately need. The fact that the President sees this problem and promises a solution is coming is very encouraging and valued by us as farmers.”

Fun fact: today when @realDonaldTrump referenced supporting year-round E15 on the campaign trail, that started on January 19, 2016 at the Iowa Renewable Fuels Summit, where he was a speaker.

The next Summit is on February 5th and is FREE and open to the public. You might want to… https://t.co/g0G57UWrbF
— Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (@iowafuel) January 28, 2026

Leading up to today’s statements by Trump, both Iowa Corn and Iowa Renewable Fuels reminded the Trump administration that year-round E15 would immediately expand domestic demand for corn at a time when farmers are under intense financial pressure. Even with the latest round of financial aid through the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program payments, 92% of agricultural economists surveyed in Farm Journal’s December Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor said the row crop side of agriculture is in a recession. More than 90% said that will accelerate consolidation in agriculture — something Iowa agriculture is seeing firsthand.

Biofuels Seen as Economic Pressure Point and Opportunity

Kurt Kovarik, vice president of federal affairs at Clean Fuels Alliance America, appeared on “AgriTalk” before Trump’s talk on Tuesday. He says the group sent a letter to the president earlier this week urging the administration to focus on two immediate policy opportunities.

“We’re excited to see him head to Iowa,” Kovarik says. “We were briefed that the purpose of the conversation was to highlight economic opportunity, perhaps domestic energy dominance.”

Kovarik says Clean Fuels asked the administration to spotlight progress on renewable fuels, particularly finalizing renewable volume obligations under the Renewable Fuel Standard and issuing long-awaited guidance on the 45Z clean fuel production tax credit.

“I’m sure you’ve had a lot of conversations around E15 — that’s in the hands of Congress,” he says. “So, what we want to do is highlight for the president the EPA’s efforts to finalize the renewable volume obligations under the RFS as an opportunity to provide market certainty and growth for our industry, as well as finalizing the 45Z clean fuel production tax credit guidance, which we do not yet have.”

That certainty, Kovarik says, has been missing, and the consequences have been felt across rural America.

“Our industry had a really, really tough 2025,” he says. “Following a really great ’24, ’25 was really poor, as it was along the farm economy.”

He says the downturn wasn’t driven by demand alone, but by uncertainty around federal policy.

“It was a lack of profit, lack of margin, which meant reduced capacity,” Kovarik says. “In fact, we’ve had a lot of plants idling.”

After producing more than 5 billion gallons of clean fuels domestically in 2024, Kovarik says output dropped sharply in 2025. Plants across the industry operated at just 60% to 70% of capacity.

“In some cases that may be a plant dialing back to 80%,” he says. “In a lot of cases, particularly the smaller plants, maybe in Iowa, those that don’t produce their own feedstock came offline entirely.”

But it’s not just corn at a crossroads. He says that slowdown directly affects farm demand, especially for soybean oil.

“If our industry got those two things in the near term, we would flip around this industry nearly immediately,” Kovarik says. “Turn these plants back on, buy more soybean oil, add value to the soybean farmer and get this fuel to the consumer.”

Kovarik points to renewable volume obligations as a key pressure point. Under the Biden administration’s final three-year RFS rule, biomass-based diesel volumes for 2025 were set at 3.35 billion gallons — well below what the industry was capable of producing.

“We produced over 5 billion gallons in 2024,” he says. “So, that’s part of the reason our industry had a tough year.”

Looking ahead, Clean Fuels, petroleum refiners and agriculture groups asked EPA to raise 2026 volumes to 5.25 billion gallons. EPA’s proposal came in even higher.

“EPA actually proposed an estimate around 5.6 billion gallons,” Kovarik says. “They were even above ours.”

If final numbers land near that range, Kovarik says it would send a powerful market signal.

“Our feeling is if it comes down anywhere in the neighborhood between what we asked and what EPA proposed, it’s going to be a very, very strong market signal,” he says.

Timing matters, too. Kovarik says EPA has indicated the rule could be finalized soon.

“Our expectation is EPA is committed to have it done within the first quarter of 2026 — that means the end of March,” he says. “Hopefully early- to mid-March.”

As corn growers push for year-round E15 and broader biofuels support during Trump’s Iowa visit, Kovarik says optimism is returning, even after a difficult year.

“Although most folks are really feeling bad about how ’25 was, they’re also very optimistic about 2026,” he says. “Because of what we feel we’re on the cusp of.”

Corn Growers Disgusted as Congress Leaves E15 Out of Government Spending Bills

Just last week, E15 and corn groups were dealt a blow. That’s because year-round E15 was left out of the latest spending package , something corn and renewable fuels groups had been pushing to get included in the latest bill.

When asked how year-round E15 failed to advance earlier this year, Skor points to political realities inside the House.

“Parochial politics,” Skor said on AgriTalk Tuesday. “It’s incredibly frustrating.”

Despite broad ag support and mounting corn supplies, Skor says narrow vote margins and competing interests stalled progress.

“We have been a chorus saying, ‘We want markets, not handouts. We want markets,’” she says. “Look at how much corn we’ve grown in the U.S. We need to find markets.”

Skor says House leadership ultimately pulled the issue from budget negotiations due to concerns over securing enough votes, particularly from members tied to small refinery interests.

“He knew that he could not get the votes he needed to pass the budget,” she says. “So he said, ‘We’re going to table this. We’re going to create a council. We’re going to deal with this separately.’ And that’s what happened.”

Looking ahead, Skor says attaching year-round E15 to a must-pass spending bill remains possible, but unlikely in the near term.

“I’m never going to say never,” she says. “But I think the realistic, immediate path for us is trusting our champions.”

She points to Rep. Randy Feenstra of Iowa as a key leader on biofuels policy.

“He’s fantastic on our issues,” Skor says. “He proved to be very, very strong in advocating for the Clean Fuel Production Tax Credit, 45Z.”

Skor says biofuels groups are now unified behind a legislative compromise that protects liquid fuels while expanding growth opportunities for American ethanol.

“We have the vast majority of liquid fuels united behind a legislative proposal,” she says. “We’ve done a really good job coming up with a compromise that has a future for liquid fuels and growth opportunities for American biofuels.”

As farmers look for demand-side solutions amid tight margins and large corn supplies, Skor says the message to Washington during Trump’s Iowa visit is straightforward: permanent E15 isn’t a wish list item. It’s a market fix agriculture needs now.

In the letter Iowa Corn and IRFA sent this week, both also pointed to Congress’ decision to sidestep E15 language in recent spending bills, instead creating a task force to study the issue. That task force, which is co-chaired by Feenstra, is scheduled to take action by February 28.

“Without permanent access to this market, the long-term viability of our state’s largest economic driver is at serious risk,” the groups wrote. “Today, we are asking for your help to finally push E15 access through Congress.”

It’s that same sentiment that was relayed in a statement from National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) president Jed Bower last week, who said corn growers “were disgusted, disappointed and disillusioned” after spending years of calling on Congress to pass E15.

“I met with Speaker Johnson back in November. He said he was frustrated because DOGE had pulled this out last year. He said he would get something done, and here we are again,” said the Ohio farmer. “The same thing we get all the time. Let’s step on and push on the farmers because there’s not very many of them and we can get away with it.”

Small Refiners Still a Roadblock to Year-Round E15

Even with support from major oil groups, Skor says a small group of refiners continues to wield outsized influence in Washington — enough to stall year-round E15 despite broad backing from agriculture and much of the energy sector.

“Well, enough that they could hamstring the speaker and they could hold up the votes on the budget,” Skor says, responding to questions about whether small refiners still carry weight in Congress.

Skor says the current proposal on the table represents a significant compromise, one she believes should be moving now.

“Let’s get year-round E15. Let’s reform the small refinery program so fewer refiners get it and we have more clarity,” she says. “We are supportive of that.”

She argues the small refinery exemption program has been abused, pointing to a growing number of legal challenges.

“There are over 15 lawsuits that have been filed in 2025 because of these small refiners. They’re greedy,” Skor says. “They’re whiny. They claim and allege hardship, and then they get on investor calls and talk about all the money they made in the quarter. You can’t have it both ways.”

Skor says the ethanol industry and its allies are now focused on exposing what she calls that hypocrisy while maintaining pressure on lawmakers.

“We have a very strong coalition now that should win the day,” she says.

Corn Growers Argue E15 Is a ‘No-Cost’ Solution

Iowa Corn and IRFA frame E15 as both an economic and regulatory fix, calling the current restrictions outdated and unnecessary.

“Removing the outdated regulatory hurdle for E15 is exactly the type of government efficiency you’ve worked for,” the groups wrote, urging Trump to continue applying pressure as Congress debates the issue over the coming weeks.

They also emphasize permanent E15 access would come at no cost to taxpayers, while strengthening American energy dominance and providing a critical lifeline to corn producers.

“Permanent nationwide access to E15 is a common-sense, no-cost solution,” the letter sent earlier this week concludes. “Now is the time.”

With the task force deadline looming and the president back in Iowa, corn growers hope the renewed push will translate into action and finally deliver year-round E15 access they’ve been seeking for more than a decade.

Trump Defends Tariffs, Says Farmers Will Be “Biggest Beneficiary”

Ahead of his Iowa talk, President Trump made an appearance at the Machine Shed restaurant in Urbandale, where he had an exclusive interview with Fox News. During that interview, Trump strongly defended his use of tariffs, calling them “indispensable” to economic growth and long-term benefits for farmers.

“Tariffs have been indispensable toward success,” Trump says. “We’ve taken in $600 billion in tariffs.”

Trump says some of that revenue has already been directed back to agriculture, including the Farmer Bridge program payments, which are scheduled to be in farmers’ bank accounts by the end of February.

“I gave the farmers $12 billion last week and took them out of tariff money,” he says.

When asked about concerns from Iowa farmers who worry tariffs could hurt exports and commodity prices, Trump says the benefits will take time to materialize.

“It’s going to take a little while to kick in,” he says. “But I think the farmers are going to be the biggest beneficiary.”

Trump points to protections against foreign crops being sold into the U.S. at below-market prices.

“When you used to have people coming in and dumping their crops into the United States, you guys were hurt,” he says. “They’re not allowed to do that because we’re tariffing those crops.”

He also draws parallels to his first-term trade battles, particularly with China.

“The farmers stuck with me the first time, and I was right,” Trump says. “We gave them $28 billion then. Now we gave them $12 billion, sort of a minimal payment.”

While acknowledging legal challenges could arise as the Trump administration awaits the Supreme Court’s ruling, Trump still signaled tariffs, or similar tools, will remain part of his strategy.

“If the Supreme Court strikes down the tariffs, we will find something — some other way of doing a similar thing,” he says. “But it’ll be more inconvenient.”

As Trump delivers his message in Iowa, tariffs remain a flashpoint for rural America, balancing promises of long-term protection with near-term uncertainty for farmers navigating tight margins and volatile markets.

USDA Trade Team Returns from Malaysia with a Focus on These Key Ag Products

Fri, 16 Jan 2026 14:53:32 GMT

As a follow up to the Oct. 26, 2025, trade deal announced by President Donald Trump, the USDA trade team just returned from a recent Trade Reciprocity for U.S. Manufacturers and Producers (TRUMP) mission.

Luke Lindberg, USDA undersecretary for trade and foreign agricultural affairs, says there were good, productive meetings toward elevating the relationship between the U.S. and Malaysia, which ranks as the 26^th largest ag trade market.

“These TRUMP missions were one of the aspects of [Agriculture] Secretary [Brooke] Rollins’ and my three-point plan to really ramp up U.S. agricultural exports. So, the president’s done a tremendous job of negotiating these new agreements around the world, and our job is to get on the ground with farmers, with U.S. agribusinesses, and start to make deals happen,” Lindberg says. “The analogy I’ve been using is the president is opening the door, and it’s our job to drive a bus through it.”

The trip to Malaysia had a delegation of 16 agribusinesses and trade associations. In recent years, the biggest U.S. agricultural exports to Malaysia have been soybeans, dairy products, cotton, vegetables and nuts.

“The whole barnyard kind of came with us this time around, because one of the things that the U.S. trade representative’s team and we did with USDA and the White House was we actually got Malaysia to agree that the U.S. food system is safe, and that’s in the language of the agreement,” he says.

Of the specific categories he shared, there was progress on many fronts including:

Soybeans — In 2024, Malaysia imported almost 452 metric tons of U.S. soybeans. Lindberg says U.S. leaders met with the largest soy crush facility, and he sees opportunities for growth.
Dairy — In total for 2024, Malaysia imported $118 million in dairy products. “We’ve seen a tremendous increase in dairy access and opportunities there, 23% growth this past year for dairy,” Lindberg says.
Ethanol — “We had a great conversation around ethanol opportunities,” Lindberg says. “Malaysia is a regional distributor of fuels, and so working ethanol into the fuel supply chain that can really spread throughout the ASEAN region, a lot of good opportunities out there.”
Beef — “We visited a very successful restaurant group in Malaysia that’s been begging for U.S. beef for a long time,” Lindberg says. “They’ve actually invested in a beef processing plant in the United States to get their beef halal certified so that they’re ready to go for when the actual duties shift and the regulations come into full force.”

Lindberg says a key tenant of the trade deal is to reduce or eliminate all tariffs.

“A lot of our producer groups haven’t been able to compete on a level playing field in Malaysia in the past, and now they have that access and that opportunity,” he explains. “When our groups can compete on a level playing field, I think we win more often than we lose.”

Next steps include a Malaysian delegation visiting Washington, D.C., next week.

“We’re marching forward here with a great opportunity on the horizon. I think it’s progressing nicely,” Lindberg says. “These rapid-response missions are largely driven by building these kind of new opportunities that really didn’t exist yesterday and exist today. In the next couple months, we’ll see full implementation of the deal, and that’ll really be the access-opening opportunity for our producers.”

Looking ahead this year, Lindberg says the USDA trade team is “hyperfocused” on fixing the agricultural trade deficit. With 2026 agribusiness trade missions announced for Indonesia, Philippines, Turkey, Australia and New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, and Vietnam, he highlights time spent in Southeast Asia is a strategy to build trade in a region with growing GDP and positive consumption trends for U.S. agricultural goods.

“It’s going to be a dynamic year for U.S. trade,” Lindberg says. “I keep saying to folks: Trade agreements are great, but sales are the goal.”

As Corn Farmers Face Tight Margins, One Policy Solution Gains Urgency

Mon, 15 Dec 2025 20:53:16 GMT

Harvest 2025 has wrapped up on Drew DeSutter’s Knox County, Ill., farm, but the work is far from finished. Attention has shifted from yield maps to balance sheets. Like many farmers across the Midwest, DeSutter is now focused on marketing grain in an environment defined by volatile prices, stubbornly high input costs and uncertainty about what comes next.

That unknown is shaping decisions not only for the current crop year, but also for planting intentions in 2026 — at a time when farmers are closely watching Washington policy moves and global markets.

DeSutter says yield variability, particularly in corn, was a key harvest theme in 2025. While overall production was solid, uneven results across fields complicate profitability calculations and marketing strategies. However, many farmers saw record soybean yields, which might have tilted the balance sheets in favor of soybeans.

“I think the jury’s still out, and we’ll see what prices do from this point on,” he says. “But I think if you look at your input prices and the price of corn this fall, versus the price of beans, maybe beans were a little bit more profitable, but it’s just a tight margin environment in both corn [and] soybeans right now.”

White House Announces $12 Billion in One-Time Farm Relief

As farmers work through those margin calculations, a major announcement from the White House is shaping the broader conversation about farm income and risk management. On Dec. 8, President Donald Trump unveiled what the administration describes as one-time bridge payment relief to help farmers facing trade disruptions and rising production costs. The per-acre payment rates are expected to be announced the week of Dec. 22.

Many farmers acknowledge the relief payments could provide short-term stability when disbursed early next year, but others question whether the assistance addresses the deeper structural issues facing agriculture, including high fertilizer prices, rising interest rates and trade uncertainty.

“It definitely feels like that it’s the new norm,” DeSutter says about the current tight margin environment. “Agriculture is cyclical. When I got out of college it was pretty good, then you go through some years that are a little tougher and we seem to always bounce back.”

Still, he says the current downturn feels longer and more persistent than previous cycles.

“Heading into 2026, I think it’s going to be another tight year from a profitability standpoint,” he adds.

Corn Growers Focus on Domestic Demand

For corn farmers, the conversation increasingly centers on demand and how to create new outlets for a crop facing heavy supplies. Corn exports are currently at record levels, according to the latest USDA report, yet prices don’t reflect that monumental demand.

That concern is echoed by national corn grower leaders, who say price pressure is intensifying at the same time production costs remain elevated.

“There’s been a lot of talk lately about soybeans, but corn prices have been down about 10% since the beginning of 2025. It’s a pretty significant drop, especially when you consider how high input prices are,” says Lesly Weber McNitt, vice president of public policy for the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA).

With USDA projecting more than 2 billion bushels of corn carryover, Weber McNitt says farmers are increasingly focused on how that grain will move.

“Export demand has been great, but that value isn’t there,” she says. “Even though our export volumes are record-setting this year, values are down about $1 billion year over year.”

That reality has sharpened NCGA’s focus on boosting domestic demand, particularly through expanded ethanol use.

Year-Round E15 Could Be What The Market is Searching For

One policy solution gaining renewed attention is year-round nationwide E15, which would allow gasoline blended with 15% ethanol to be sold throughout the year. The issue surfaces repeatedly during conversations with farmers and policymakers, including during the White House roundtable last week as the president rolled out the farmer bridge payments.

“Ethanol, you’re working for ethanol trying to get E15 year-round. I think we can have a lot of domestic product used here in the country, and we can keep America first, and you’re good at that, that is who you are,” said Iowa farmer Cordt Holub to the president.

“So E15 is a big deal?” Trump asked.

“E15 is a great deal year-round. Farmers would love you more than anything if we could continue to use domestic product, use the byproducts,” Holub added during the roundtable discussion.

Weber McNitt says it’s no secret E15 offers multiple benefits, extending beyond farm income alone, which is why it aligns strongly with the Trump administration’s agenda.

“It helps farmers. It helps achieve American energy dominance,” she says. “It helps tackle affordability because year-round E15 could help consumers pay about 25¢ less a gallon at the pump.”

Despite bipartisan support, Weber McNitt stresses that action ultimately rests with Congress.

Legislative Hurdles Remain

NCGA supports the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act, which would permanently allow year-round E15 sales. While the bill has backing in both chambers, Weber McNitt says progress has stalled.

“Individual bills aren’t really moving, and there isn’t a lot of time left on the legislative calendar,” she says. “We need to find other bills that are likely to pass so that we can hitch a ride on them.”

Asked whether E15 could still be finalized in 2025, Weber McNitt says she remains cautiously optimistic.

“I would like to achieve it in 2025 still,” she says. “My hope is that we can get the E15 bill passed by the end of January.”

Geoff Cooper, president and CEO of the Renewable Fuels Association, shares that optimism.

“We think there are still decent odds we can get it passed here in 2025,” Cooper says. “This period between now and early 2026 is really our best shot at getting this legislation done.”

What E15 Could Mean for Corn Demand

According to NCGA data, growth in corn use for ethanol has largely stagnated since 2011. Weber McNitt says removing regulatory barriers to E15 could dramatically change that trajectory.

“For every 1% you raise the national fuel blending rate, you’d grind an additional 470 million or 490 million bushels of corn,” she says. “Once you scale up to that full 15%, we could be looking at additional demand of 2.4 billion bushels, which is just about what USDA is estimating we’ll have left over.”

She says demand growth would happen over time but the potential impact is significant for a sector searching for new outlets.

Looking Ahead to 2026

Back in Knox County, DeSutter says early signs suggest corn acres could remain strong again next year. Favorable harvest conditions allowed for extensive fall fieldwork, which could influence planting decisions.

Despite the financial pressure, DeSutter’s optimism remains intact. He says at some point agriculture will get back to profitability. Until then, he says incremental policy wins could make a meaningful difference.

“If you can get some small victories, whether it’s year-round E15 or less regulations, every dollar per acre helps when you’re in a tight margin environment,” he says.

Farmers Alarmed: U.S. Nearing Agricultural Economic Crisis — Steps to Reverse Course

Thu, 18 Sep 2025 17:42:52 GMT

Nearly half (46%) of U.S. farmers believe we are on the brink of a farm crisis, according to a new survey released by the National Corn Growers Association . And 65% are more concerned now about their farm financials than a year ago.

The economic conditions for many sectors in agriculture have been deteriorating for some time. John Newton, executive leader at Terrain, says this is the third or fourth year for many row crop producers to be facing profitability at break-even or below break-even margins.

(National Corn Growers Association 2025 Survey)

He points to three trade-related examples driving challenges in ag sector profitability:

China is out of the soybean market
Canada hasn’t bought any U.S. wine
The tree nut industry is facing pressures

“The whole farm economy is facing challenges maybe outside of the livestock markets,” he says. “We need an above-all approach to improve the farm economy.”

Newton says cash receipts for crop farms (adjusted for inflation) have declined by $71 billion in the last three years, which is the largest amount of all time.

(National Corn Growers Association 2025 Survey)

What Can Change The Trajectory?

The news of the federal reserve lowering interest rates one-quarter of a percent is a welcome update.

“We’ve been waiting on this for some time,” Newton says. “The expectation is we need two more yet this year.”

He goes on to say for the average farmer, while this is positive news and increases some ability to take on more credit affordability moving into the spring, it’s not quite enough to change the dynamics of their total financial outlook. As NCGA reports corn margins are at a loss of $161 per acre for new crop in 2025, many farmers will be looking to take short-term debt and roll into long debt to help navigate the tough economic environment.

“The reality is we still have 10-year treasury notes and nearby treasury notes really tightly bundled together. It makes it difficult to restructure any debt for a farmer or find cost savings. What we need to see is more confidence long term in the economy —widening the spread between nearby treasuries and the 10-year treasury. When we have that, it gives lenders the flexibility to work with farmers to restructure debt and create cost savings in doing so,” Newton says.

As a longer-term domestic demand builder, Newton eyes year-round E15 as a potential boost to the corn farmer’s bottom line. NCGA reports for each 1% increase in the blend rate, the range of corn used is 200 to 400 million bu. of corn.

“While it may not do anything to eat into the 2 billion bu. we’ll have in ending stocks for the new crop, in five to six years, you’ll have the infrastructure for the corn we’ll continue to supply,” Newton says.

As for recent actions by Congress, and USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins saying financial aid may come as early as this fall to farmers, Newton says those are signs of how lawmakers and the administration are evaluating what they can do and what tools are in the toolbox.

However, he’s quick to point to the limitations they have.

“Of the $31 billion in the American Relief Act, only $14 billion will go out the door. The One Big Beautiful Bill put $66 billion in farm programs and risk management — but not until October 2026,” Newton says. “You have a gap. Even though congress has responded, it’ll take time for that to hit farms across the country.”

EPA Decision on Small Refinery Exemptions Good News For Biofuels

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 18:19:15 GMT

The Environmental Protection Agency had a big announcement on Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs) on Friday.

The agency is acting on a backlog of more than 175-petitions from 38-small refineries dating all the way back to 2016.

EPA officials says the goal is to get the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program back on track but biofuels industry officials are unclear about how that will work.

SRE Decision a Mixed Bag

EPA granted full SREs on 63 petitions to the Renewable Fuel Standard, and partial exemptions on 77. The agency also denied 28 petitions and deemed 7 ineligible.

Paul Winters, Director of Public Affairs, Clean Fuels Alliance America says the result was a good news, bad news story for the industry.

“The exemptions apply to more than 7 billion RIN gallons from prior years. However, EPA is indicating that it’s only returning RINs for 2023 and 2024, which is about 1 .4 billion RINs. Those RINs would still be valid to meet the 2024 RFS volume requirements.”

Will the 2023 to 2025 SREs be Reallocated?

The biofuels industry exoects multiple refiners to object to the decision. So the question remains: how or if the SREs from 2023 to 25 will be reallocated.

Winters says, “1.4 billion RINs returned to the market is a substantial number, especially for 2024 and 2025 where the Biden administration set volumes for biomass based diesel way below where they should have.”

EPA Proposes New Formula for Reallocating SREs

In addition, EPA has proposed a new formula to reallocate gallons exempted from 2023 and later years.

This means EPA still has 57 total exemption requests pending that will be used in finalizing blending levels for 2026 and 2027.

“So what EPA has indicated is that they are going to propose a rule, a supplement to the 2026 and 2027 volumes and they will reallocate the these small refinery exemptions to other refiners,” he says.

So, while the administration is trying to support the biofuels industry, it’s still negative according to Winters.

“They exempted far more small refineries than anyone thought would have,” he explains.

Timeline Unclear

Winters says EPA will send a proposal to the White House next week for a 30 day review, followed by a comment period and hearing on the new proposal.

Eventually the plan is to add this proposal to, for the new framework or small refinery exemption decisions and add it to the 2026 and 2027 RFS rule.

Winters says CFAA will work with EPA on the re-allocations but his will delay the final 2027 RFS rule past the November 1 deadline — adding more uncertainty.

5 Things Farmers Should Know Now 45Z Is A Real Thing

Mon, 07 Jul 2025 22:09:52 GMT

The One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) delivered additional surety for the 45Z biofuel blender tax credit.

After almost three years of talking about what could be spelled out by 45Z, Mitchell Hora says farmers can now get “locked in” to capitalize on the program.

“This 45z deal could be absolutely game changing for my family’s farm, and I think it will be game changing for other family farmers across the country,” Hora says. “It’s going to have a ripple effect that could change global agriculture. So that’s why I’m just so adamant that we have got to get this right, and we’ve got to hit the ground running.”

Hora, an Iowa farmer and founder of Continuum Ag, says there are five things every farmer should know about what the OBBB has laid out. He also says there are unanswered questions.

1. It’s happening.

“They [lawmakers] cut almost all of the other green funding programs within the Inflation Reduction Act. They cut a bunch of that old stuff, but they kept the 45Z program,” Hora says. “It’s alive, it’s locked in, it’s going to happen.”

What sets 45Z apart from previous biofuels tax provisions is how it measures the grain—the program uses a scorecard to assess every bushel (not acre) with a carbon intensity (CI). Any score under 50 points receives a tax credit to the biofuels producer.

“This program shows how you can score a farmer’s carbon footprint, how you can audit it, verify it, track it through the supply chain, and how to monetize it,” Hora says.

2. OBBB gave 45Z an extension

The 45Z program now has additional momentum behind it as the OBBB outlined an extension now into 2029.

“Now biofuels producers have more time to really capitalize on this,” Hora says.

The program is currently active for the 2025 tax year. This means farmers could be selling 2024 grain into the 2025 biofuels production year. And the program is available through 2029.

3. Only North American feedstocks are eligible.

Imported used cooking oil has become a focus for may who have critiqued previous blend credits as feedstocks from other countries were not limited.

Now, only feedstocks from North American sources can be used as part of this program. This includes corn, soybeans, used cooking oil, beef tallow, and canola.

“Without foreign feedstocks being included this drives more demand and more value for U.S. farmers,” Hora says.

4. Current language ignores indirect land use change.

“This single thing lowers everyone’s CI score across the board. It definitely helps corn and corn based ethanol and the soybean side as well,” Hora says.

5. Tax credits are transferrable.

Biofuels producers can take their tax credits and sell them to another buyer if they aren’t going to use them themselves.

Additionally, this makes it easier for farmer-owned co-op ethanol plants to process their taxes.

Additional considerations and unanswered questions.

Farmer data is key to unlock the potential.

“The overall 45Z impact is ag data is extremely valuable. It’s setting a precedent as to the value for data,” Hora says. “Iin order for the ethanol plant to generate 45Z credit using your low carbon farming practices, they have to prove it in an audit, and likely an audit at every point of aggregation, so that farmer data is really the key to unlock value here.”

As for the monetary value of the CI score, Hora says after talking to hundreds of ethanol plants, the range of sharing the value of the credit varies between 30% to 50% of the value.

This 45Z program update does effect sustainable aviation fuel—particularly alcohol to jet.

“Under the current version of 45z the alcohol to jet pathway not going to happen at any type of real pace, not at any type of accelerated rate of innovation. The math just doesn’t work out,” Hora says. “You’d be much better off under the current 45Z rules to just sell it as ethanol.”

The Final IRS Guidance Matters

Forthcoming final rules from the IRS will set which of the two calculators will be used: GREET FD-CIC or USDA FD-CIC

Also, the IRS sets if the credits will be tracked with mass balance or book and claim method.

“Here’s the takeaway for farmers. You can continue to wait. But you’re money ahead to get your data organized,” he says.

The money is flowing—yet.

“There may be small amounts, pennies on the dollar to get things started and get farmers enrolled. This didn’t unlock the flood gates. But it locked it in. It’s here to stay. They are going to get these rules out. We’ve got to get some movement on the work ahead to get the data and the people ready,” Hora says.

You may want to pump the brakes on signing up for a new private carbon program, Hora says. Because all previous guidance has not allowed for signing up an acre for one program and selling a bushel under 45Z from the same land.

There will be ripple effects (and opportunities) for animal agriculture.

Hora says, “If you are in animal ag, talk to people in your supply chain. And talk about how to capitalize on this precedent setting program.”

Biofuels in Flux: What 3 Key Policy Decisions Will Shape the Future of the Industry?

Thu, 12 Jun 2025 13:36:42 GMT

The future of the biofuels industry in the U.S. is uncertain as decisions on three specific policy areas are in flux.

1. Renewable Volume Obligations

The Office of Management and Budget is currently holding stakeholder meetings on EPA’s proposed Renewable Volume Obligations (RVO), or mandated blending levels.

Biofuels group worked with the American Petroleum Institute to submit recommendations to EPA asking for RVO levels of 15 billion gallons for ethanol and 5.25 billion gallons for bio-mass based diesel.

There has been speculation and rumor that the draft EPA sent to the White House had proposed levels that fell below these amounts.

However, biofuels officials have refuted that conjecture and say EPA has assured them the levels may even exceed their recommendations.

2. Small Refinery Exemptions

At the same time, the EPA is also considering the backlog of Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs) carried over from the Biden administration, according to Troy Bredenkamp, senior vice president of government and public affairs for the Renewable Fuels Association.

Some of those date back several years and have expired.

“There are 169 of these pending small refinery exemptions that have been building up from court cases and remands,” he explains. “Our calculation is that’s about 8.5 billion gallons, so it’s a significant number.”

That’s why the industry has asked EPA to make the two policy decisions together so the SREs can be reallocated to other refiners through the blending levels set under the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS).

“We’ve said whether you have expired RINs you’re issuing or you have active RINs for the current compliance years, make a three-year average and take that number and include it back into this round of RVOs,” Bredenkamp explains.

3. 45Z as Part of the Budget Reconciliation Bill

The future of 45Z also hangs in the balance awaiting Senate action, after the House included an extension of the biofuels tax credit to 2031 in their budget reconciliation bill.

Paul Winters, director of public affairs for Clean Fuel Alliance America, says that was good news for the industry.

“That essentially puts the credit for liquid fuels on par with the credits for other technologies and gives them the same length of time to access this tax credit,” he says.

The House bill also excludes the biofuels tax credit to entities outside North America, such as China.

“There are restrictions to feedstocks solely from Canada, Mexico and the United States. There are other provisions to restrict the involvement of foreign entities of concern,” Winters adds.

The question now is will the Senate adopt the House’s 45Z language in their bill?

Geoff Cooper, president and CEO of the Renewable Fuels Association, says so far there’s been good support in the Senate for the program.

“We do expect 45Z will be maintained, protected as the Senate takes up budget reconciliation, but there very well could be additional changes made to the 45Z program,” he states.

In fact, biofuels groups have asked the Senate to make 45Z more workable, according to Cooper.

“They should specify in the law that agricultural practices need to be part of that emissions rate scoring process. That’s the only way we’re going ensure farmers have the ability to participate in this opportunity,” he says.

And so farmers can share in the revenue stream.

Missouri Farmer Calls Ford Out for Abandoning Ethanol Flex Fuel in New F-150 Trucks

Mon, 31 Mar 2025 20:23:50 GMT

Missouri Corn Growers Association CEO Bradley Schad, who still helps out around the family farm in his spare time, is calling on Ford Motor Company to reconsider a recent decision he believes will cause long-term harm to U.S. farmers.

“They stopped selling new flex fuel vehicles, so now they don’t have a single new engine platform option for growers to purchase,” Schad says. “The F-Series truck is one of the most important vehicles that we have on the farm today. They’re trying to change that (series) to an electric fleet, and we don’t like that.”

Farm Journal reached out to Ford for comment via a contact form for media on its website. We will update this post if we hear back from anyone at Ford Motor Company.

According to Schad, Ford’s F-150 is not only the top-selling truck in the U.S., but also the top-selling used vehicle in the top five corn-producing states: Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota and Indiana. It is also No. 1 in a handful of ag-friendly states like Missouri, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, the Dakotas and the Carolinas.

Model Year 2023 was the last iteration of the F-150 that Ford offered with the V8 5.0-liter Flex Fuel option. Schad, who is a longtime F-150 owner, says he’s not interested in criticizing Ford for the change. After all, recent regulations removed many of the manufacturer incentives that used to exist for flex fuel and E-85 vehicles.

Bradley Schad, Missouri Corn Growers Association

(Photo courtesy Missouri Corn Growers Association )

“We’re just trying to bring some awareness and work with Ford to change the legislation and regulations and help bring that (option) back,” Schad says. “We realize it’s not entirely their own fault necessarily, but work with us to pass some beneficial legislation that helps farmers and rural consumers purchase a more economical fuel and reduce our dependence on foreign oil.”

Schad says Ford is still supporting its higher-ethanol compatible engines in South America. Brazil, for example, has a minimum ethanol blend in its fuel of 27.5%.

The company’s chief truck-building rivals at GM still offer flex fuel as an engine option on new base models of the Chevy Silverado and the GMC Sierra. Ford, it would seem, is stepping away from the same farmers that helped catapult its trucks to the top of the auto industry, he argues.

(Photo courtesy Missouri Corn Growers Association)

“We need Ford to stand strong with farmers – the No. 1 customer base of F Series trucks in the nation. I don’t think there’s any business sector that buys more F Series trucks than the agriculture sector,” he says. “We need Ford to give us the option to use our own product and help build demand for corn-based ethanol.”

RELATED - Grassley: Farmers Can Feed And Fuel The World At The Same Time. It’s Not Either/Or

Schad is optimistic a long-awaited-but-yet-to-be-passed new Farm Bill will include some type of carve out supporting ethanol-based fuels. Republican Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley has also been advocating for year-round E-15 fuel availability for years. Grassley and Nebraska Senator Deb Fischer (R) reintroduced the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act of 2025 in February. If passed, that bill would enable year-round, nationwide sales of ethanol fuel blends up to 15%.

“We need permanency and predictability with ethanol and biodiesel,” Grassley recently told AgriTalk host Chip Flory.

And while Schad admits he has heard all the critiques of ethanol-based fuels - subpar performance, increased engine problems, etc. - his experience is that higher ethanol fuels are clean burning, high performing and safe.

“There’s nothing more helpful to a farmer than having a strong truck with a strong fuel providing more horsepower and torque in these engines,” Schad says. “Octane is key, and we want to make sure to partner with everyone we can. Hopefully Ford is willing to help us pass some beneficial legislation that brings ethanol the ability to be produced and consumed across the nation.”

Today, U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins announced USDA will release funding under the Higher Blends Infrastructure Incentive Program (HBIIP) for 543 projects totaling $537 million in 29 states. Established at USDA Rural Development during President Trump’s first term, HBIIP helps expand the production of domestic biofuels by helping fueling stations install the pumps, storage containers and other necessary infrastructure needed to offer biofuel options at the pump.

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Grassley: Farmers Can Feed And Fuel The World At The Same Time. It’s Not Either/Or

Mon, 24 Mar 2025 21:14:17 GMT

A still-agitated Sen. Chuck Grassley spoke to AgriTalk Host Chip Flory on Monday, detailing a list of frustrations from the town hall meeting Grassley hosted last Friday night at the Franklin County Courthouse in Hampton, Iowa.

The event marked the kickoff for Grassley’s 45th annual tour to each of Iowa’s 99 counties, done so he could hear directly from Iowans.

He heard from them all right.

About 150 Iowans worried and upset about funding cuts and mass firings of federal employees, led by Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency, showed up and volleyed questions at the senior senator from Iowa.

In the overflow crowd were also a number of corn and soybean growers and county-based Republican party leaders Grassley and team had personally invited.

“A lot of them showed up. I’d have assumed I’d got a friendly question… And do you know that for a whole hour, not a single farmer or a single Republican leader asked me a single question,” the senator told Flory.

Instead, Grassley said he had to listen to “an hour of people complaining about President Donald Trump, Musk and Congress,” claiming the latter is not doing enough to provide a check on the president’s authority.

“Why wouldn’t they take an opportunity to ask Grassley something about international trade, or about the five-year farm bill or stuff like that?” Grassley asked Flory.

“I’ll ask you right now,” Flory responded. “Let’s talk about E15 and year-around availability. There’s a big push for it right now. Is that going to happen?”

“I think so, but I don’t know exactly when, because you’ve got to be bipartisan,” noted Grassley, who has long-championed year-round E15.

E15 Decision Requires Bipartisan Support

In mid-February, Grassley and Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), both members of the Senate Agriculture Committee, had reintroduced the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act of 2025. The legislation is currently the only permanent, nationwide solution they said that will unleash the power of E15. The legislation would enable the year-round, nationwide sale of ethanol blends higher than 10 percent, helping to lower fuel prices and provide certainty in fuel markets for farmers and consumers.

“We’re hoping all those things get done, but we need permanency and predictability with ethanol and biodiesel,” Grassley told Flory. “And we need certainty, and this administration ought to give us that certainty.”

On his first day in office of his second term, President Trump directed the Environmental Protection Agency to explore the benefits of making E15 available year-round through his Executive Order Declaring a National Energy Emergency.

“We got plenty of leadership here in the Midwest, and all the president would have to do is say, ‘Well, why doesn’t Congress get off of its butt and get something passed to help and bring certainty to this very important industry, because we have the capability of feeding the world, and we have the capability of fueling the world,” Grassley said.

Trump Tariffs Are Concerning

Grassley has been very consistent over the years in his messages to American farmers and the public at large that he is not a proponent of using tariffs to negotiate trade decisions.

Flory asked Grassley what his take is on what’s currently happening on the trade front, and whether he anticipates any long-term gains resulting from implementing tariffs.

“I’m a free and fair trader. I want to negotiate tariffs down,” Grassley replied. “If the president’s plan works, I’m going to say, ‘Praise the Lord.’ And if it doesn’t work, I’m going to say, ‘I told you so.’ But I’m not telling him that yet.”

Grassley said while he’s been in the Senate, he has spent 40 years trying to eliminate or reduce tariffs. “If he (Trump) can do it in a better way, I’m going to honor him for doing it.”

Another trade-related issue Grassley brought up is the decision by the Trump administration to impose fees of up to $1.5 million on Chinese-built vessels entering U.S. ports as part of the administration’s efforts to revive the U.S. shipbuilding industry.

“I don’t know that the president understands what he’s doing,” Grassley said. “The president is just creating a problem every time a ship docks in the United States, putting up to a million-dollar-plus cost on it. It is going to make it much more difficult for us from a competitive standpoint. I don’t know if they really think this stuff through or not.”

Augusto Bassanini, president of the United Grain Corporation, said as much in a March 21 letter to U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. Bassanini, quoted in an online article by the South China Morning Post, said the “unintended consequences” of the proposed actions “are already beginning to surface, with global shipping markets reacting by reducing bookings to U.S. ports, increasing shipping rates, and modifying contractual terms.”

Are More Tough Economic Times Ahead?

Flory asked Grassley if the various issues are signaling a prolonged period of tough economic times for agriculture. “Should we be anticipating some payments to farmers like, you know, the market facilitation program payments under the first Trump administration?” Flory asked.

“Well, already we got the $29 for soybeans and $42 for corn going out now to farmers. That was the $10 billion appropriation of the previous bill, but that deals with the Biden economics,” Grassley replied.

“The only thing I’ve got to tell you is when (Trump’s) tariffs screwed up our sale of soybeans to China, then he put $28 billion out through the CCC (USDA’s Commodity Credit Corporation), which I think is too liberal of a delegation of authority to the president of the United States. But anyway, farmers want their money from the marketplace, not from the federal treasury,” Grassley added.

Flory’s final question to Grassley was regarding the timeline on tax cuts and budget reconciliation in the Senate.

Grassley said, “I hope today the chairman of the committee tells me he’s put together a bill. If he does that today, that will give us an opportunity to get something moving. Because until now, we’ve had 10 weeks of nothing but talk, talk, talk, going over the same thing week after week, and we got to move.”

The full discussion between Sen. Grassley and Flory on AgriTalk is available here.

Your next read: USDA Announces Key FPAC Appointments to Advance ‘America First’ Farm Agenda

USDA Prepares to Protect Farmers in a Trade War

Tue, 04 Mar 2025 22:28:13 GMT

As the clock struck midnight on March 4, President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China went into effect. Almost immediately, global markets started to react, and trading partners retaliated.

While the full economic consequences of the trade war remain to be seen, Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins has promised to have a plan, such as the Market Facilitation Program (MFP), ready for farmers, if needed. In 2019, MFP provided direct payments to producers impacted by retaliatory tariffs, resulting in the loss of traditional exports.

“Everything is on the table right now. Everything. I know that President Trump, whom I speak with regularly, realizes the state of the farm economy in this country,” Rollins said on Sunday at Commodity Classic . “The last time, I know, he pushed Secretary Perdue to ensure we were able to make whole–as best as we could–some of those, and hopefully most of those, if not all, who had been hurt. We’re building the team at USDA to ensure we have the structure and the plan in place to allow us to move very quickly.”

In an interview with Farm Journal at Commodity Classic, USDA Economist Seth Meyer says he has been instructed by Secretary Rollins to be ready for a relief program, and he’s started calculating what possible relief could look like.

“Calculating something right today would not be helpful because we don’t know where we’re going to be, but absolutely, the Secretary instructs: ‘You need to be ready, have your pencil sharpened and have your tools available. Think about how you would proceed,’” Meyer says. “We are ready in that backstop. It won’t be easy. We’ve talked a lot about different countries. We’ve talked about reciprocal trade, but we are indeed sharpening our pencils to be able to do what she’s asked us to do.”

Here are the key details of the U.S. tariffs and retaliation from Canada, Mexico and China.

(Farm Journal)

Canada responded swiftly with plans to impose 25% tariffs on nearly $100 billion of U.S. imports over two tranches. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum plans to announce retaliatory tariff and non-tariff measures against the U.S. at an upcoming rally in Mexico City’s central square.

Meyer’s question is, “Can Mexico afford to retaliate?”

(Farm Journal)

As President Trump’s tariffs drew swift retaliation from trading partners, the ag industry was quick to react.

Impact on Farm Machinery
Equipment makers are concerned about the additional duties, especially after a rough year for the industry.

“We have spent decades laying down supply chains across the world. Our industry is global — 30% of all equipment made in the U.S. is destined for export. Canada is our largest market outside of the U.S.,” says Johan “Kip” Eideberg, senior vice president – government and industry relations, Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM). “If we want to create more jobs here in America, we need to sell more equipment and that means selling to customers outside of the U.S.”

As detailed in From the Factory to Your Fields: Where Farm Equipment Is Made , the ag equipment manufacturing industry is fully integrated across the three North American allies involved in the so-called “trade wars.”

“Anytime you disrupt those tightly connected supply chains — and tariffs would be a direct disruption — it’s going to have a serious impact on equipment manufacturers and on our farmers,” Eineberg says. “Given that Canada is our largest export market, we’re sending almost $10 billion worth of goods to Canada every year, there’s a lot at stake here.”

In 2018, Eineberg estimates, tariffs on steel, aluminum and farm inputs from China drove up the cost of making equipment in the U.S. by about 9 percentage points.

“Obviously, manufacturers will try to absorb as much of that as they can, but inevitably some of it will be passed down to the consumer, which in this case is our farmers and ranchers,” he adds.

AEM is also sounding the alarm on the compounding effect of tariffs, specifically due to the tight integration of manufacturing cycles on both sides of the border. There are often cases, Eineberg says, where components and raw materials are shuttled three to five times across the border between different factories in the manufacturing process. That means each time a piece of steel or other raw material being manufactured into a component for a tractor crosses the border, the tariffs multiply.

An example of the cross-border journey of one piece of agriculture equipment from raw material to delivery on the farm.

(AEM)

Impact on Rural America and Fertilizer
American Farm Bureau President Zippy Duvall expressed alarm about potential harm to farmers resulting from imposing stiff tariffs on the top three agricultural markets by value for the U.S.

“Farm Bureau members support the goals of security and ensuring fair trade with our North American neighbors and China, but, unfortunately, we know from experience that farmers and rural communities will bear the brunt of retaliation.” Duvall says.

Of note, more than 80% of the U.S. supply of potash , a key fertilizer product, comes from Canada.

“Tariffs that increase fertilizer prices threaten to deliver another blow to the finances of farm families already grappling with inflation and high supply costs,” Duvall adds. “The uncertainty hits just as operating loans are being secured and spring planting approaches, leaving farmers in a tough spot.”

(Farm Journal)

Read: Fertilizer Manufacturers and Retailers React to Trade Tariffs

Impact on Soybeans
During the 2018 trade war with China, U.S. agriculture experienced more than $27 billion in losses, with soybeans accounting for 71% of those losses, according to the American Soybean Association (ASA). Unlike in 2018, farmers are in a more tentative financial situation in 2025. Commodity prices are down nearly 50% from three years ago, while the costs for land and inputs, such as seed, pesticides and fertilizer, are high.

In an ASA statement, it says for years the organization’s farmer-members have consistently maintained their position that they do not support the use of tariffs, which threaten important markets and raise input costs for farmers, as a negotiation tactic.

“Farmers are frustrated. Tariffs are not something to take lightly and ‘have fun’ with. Not only do they hit our family businesses squarely in the wallet, but they rock a core tenet on which our trading relationships are built, and that is reliability. Being able to reliably supply a quality product to them consistently,” says Caleb Ragland, ASA president and soybean farmer from Magnolia, Ky.

Soybeans by far make up the largest volume of ag products exported to China. In 2024, U.S. exporters sent 27 million metric tons of soybeans to China valued at $12.76 billion, according to USDA. Mexico is the second-largest customer for whole soybeans, soybean meal and soybean oil. Canada is the fourth-largest customer for soybean meal.

“Soybean producers face huge, disproportionate impacts from trade flow disruptions, particularly to China,” Ragland says. “And we know foreign soybean producers in Brazil and other countries are expecting abundant crops this year and are primed to meet any demand stemming from a renewed U.S.-China trade war.”

Impact on Corn and Ethanol Demand
Market analysis shows tariffs won’t solve the U.S. trade deficit and instead will just shift business to other countries, says Neil Caskey, CEO, National Corn Growers Association (NCGA).

“We issued a study back in the fall that documented the implications of tariffs and specifically retaliation in a trade war — it’s not good for corn farmers, farmers in general,” he says. “We did that in conjunction with the American Soybean Association, and it concluded a trade war is really only good for Brazil, and we hope to avoid that.”

The top two destinations for corn and ethanol are Mexico and Canada. According to Krista Swanson, chief economist, NCGA, 40% of U.S. corn exports go to Mexico and more than 40% of U.S. ethanol exports are shipped to Canada.

“[Corn] is a commodity [those countries] consume way more than what they produce, so they’re going to have to get it from somewhere,” she says. “There’s definitely some concern about losing corn [exports], but how much is lost is left to be seen because it depends on what happens with shifting trade flows.”

Impact on Beef and Pork Sectors
U.S. meat export could be impacted by the tariff war as well, with China singling out pork and beef for a 10% counter tariff. Mexico, China and Canada accounted for 8.4 billion in U.S. red meat exports last year, according to the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF).

USMEF is disappointed no agreements were reached to avoid or postpone the tariffs, but president and CEO Dan Halstrom says just because there are tariffs, doesn’t mean trade will stop.

“I do think the thing that we have definitely in our favor is that demand for our products globally is record breaking. I mean, it’s as good as I’ve ever seen it in 40-plus years,” he says. “I think that we have a very unique product. We got to keep that in mind because that’s a big leverage point.”

Halstrom says it could be a bumpy ride for a while, but it’s not something exporters can’t overcome.

Read: Industry Comments on Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Pork and Beef

USDA's Rollins: 'Let's Go Barnstorm The World And Find New Partners' For Trade

Tue, 18 Feb 2025 18:09:21 GMT

On Brooke Rollins’ first full week on the job as Secretary of Agriculture, she addressed the 600 farmers, ranchers and industry leaders in Kansas City for the 2025 Top Producer Summit.

High on Rollins’ list of priorities was the topic of trade and President Donald Trump’s vision for U.S. agriculture moving forward.

While Rollins did not shy away from addressing the administration’s decision to implement trade tariffs, noting “farmer and rancher concerns are legitimate,” she focused on what she sees as her role ahead.

“My job is to ensure that as President Trump and our trade representatives are making their decisions that I am in the room and advocating on behalf of our people, on behalf of all of you,” she told Top Producer Summit attendees.

One of her key objectives, she says, is to find and expand market access for U.S. agricultural products domestically and abroad.

“Let’s go barnstorm the world, and let’s go find some more trade partners and access [to market opportunities],” she says.

Rollins says her goals for trade are a reflection of Trump’s vision and his determination to make agriculture part of the “golden age” he sees ahead for the U.S.

Trump is the consummate deal maker, Rollins notes, able to side-step bureaucracy and red tape in the process to work with world leaders.

“I don’t know that in the last 250 years, we’ve had anyone in office like President Trump,” she says. “He is a very unusual, remarkable and fearless man, and he wants to make a deal, and in the best way, and put America first.”

Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins spoke to a crowd of 600 farmers, ranchers and industry leaders at the 2025 Top Producer Summit.

(Jim Barcus)

Making Headway With Trade
Sen. Roger Marshall of Kansas, who moderated the conversation with Rollins, highlighted Trump’s work to build trade during his first term.

“He redid USMCA, and now that’s our largest ag partnership, with Mexico and Canada,” Marshall says. “He gave us South Korea and Japan, which has been so important to Kansas and our cattle industry, as well as trade 1.0 with China.”

Marshall then mentioned the headway he believes Trump and team have made with India.

“I see India replacing China as our major trade partner, as well that China is growing right now,” Marshall says. “I think there’s huge opportunities in India.”

U.S. ethanol, cotton and tree nuts are three of the top agricultural exports to India, a country that has in the past impeded agricultural trade with tariffs and non-tariff barriers alike. Trump called out the barriers to trade following recent conversations with India’s Prime Minster Modi.

A joint statement after the Trump-Modi meeting said Washington welcomed New Delhi’s recent steps to lower tariffs on select U.S. products and increase market access to U.S. farm products, while seeking to negotiate the initial segments of a trade deal by the fall of 2025.

Rollins says the progress underway with India was just one step forward to address what she described as a trade crisis for the U.S.

“Our exports are down $37 billion this year and likely to be down $42 billion in the months to come. This is a crisis, and this is something that I understand inherently,” Rollins says.

“We have a tremendous amount of work to do,” she adds. “But my promise to you is this, and my commitment will never waver, that every minute of every day for the next four years, I will do everything within my power with hopefully God’s hand on all of us and our work to ensure that we are not just entering the golden age for America, as my boss, President Trump, likes to say, but that we are entering the golden age for agriculture.”

Secretary Rollins joined Chip Flory on AgriTalk. Listen to their discussion about trade policy and tariffs; avian flu; and disaster and economic aid.

Your next read: Senate Overwhelmingly Confirms Brooke Rollins as 33rd Secretary of Agriculture

RFK Jr. and Zeldin Comment on How They Would Implement Trump Policy

Fri, 31 Jan 2025 13:41:54 GMT

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s confirmation hearing for Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) on Wednesday (Jan. 29) before the Senate Finance Committee lasted over three hours, revealing key points:

Vaccine stance: Kennedy attempted to soften his past anti-vaccine rhetoric, stating support for vaccines but struggling to explain previous controversial statements.
Health policy priorities: He emphasized addressing chronic diseases, promoting safe food, removing conflicts of interest in health agencies, and using “gold-standard science.” Kennedy said that federal dollars spent on SNAP and school lunch programs could be one place to start, “helping kids” avoid obesity and chronic illness by cutting out sugary drinks and “ultra-processed foods.” He would also fund federal research into the link between food additives and chronic illnesses, though he didn’t specify which ingredients sparked the most concern. “I don’t want to take food away from anybody,” Kennedy said.
Kennedy emphasized his support for American farmers, stating:
- “American farms are the bedrock of our culture, of our politics, [and] of our national security.”
- He was a “4-H kid” and spent summers working on ranches.
- He wants to work with farmers and food producers to remove burdensome regulations and unleash American ingenuity.
Agricultural practices and health. Kennedy expressed concerns about current agricultural practices:
- He criticized the use of certain chemicals in farming, stating they destroy soil microbiomes and cause erosion.
- He linked chemical-intensive agriculture to health problems, mentioning clusters of cancers, autoimmune diseases, and obesity in farming communities.
- He called for incentivizing transitions to regenerative agriculture and less chemically intensive practices.Kennedy told Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) that farmers are affected by cancers and autoimmune illnesses that he believes are caused by ingredients like food dyes. “We need to fix our food supply,” Kennedy said, noting that “seeds and chemicals” used by U.S. farmers are “destroying our soil” in the long term. When asked about Kennedy’s “seeds and chemicals” comment, Grassley told Politico: “I’ll have someone from Iowa State University talk to him.”
Collaboration with USDA. Kennedy emphasized his intention to work closely with the Department of Agriculture:
- He stated that MAHA (Make America Healthy Again) “simply cannot succeed without a partnership a full Partnership of American farmers.”
- He committed to working collaboratively with USDA and other federal agencies before implementing policies affecting food supplies.
- Kennedy mentioned that President Trump instructed him to work with Brooke Rollins at USDA to ensure policies support farmers. Rollins told reporters last week that she was supportive of Kennedy’s “Make America Healthy Again” movement. “But what is important and, if confirmed, what my role will be, will be to strike a balance between defending our farmers and our ranchers but also working with Bobby Kennedy, who I adore, to effectuate the president’s vision on all of the above,” Rollins said
Regulatory approach. Kennedy outlined his approach to agricultural regulations:
- He promised to work with farmers to remove burdensome regulations.
- Kennedy acknowledged the “very thin margins” farmers operate on and stated he doesn’t want any farmer to leave their farm for economic or regulatory reasons.
- He agreed that agricultural practice regulations should primarily be left to USDA and EPA.
- “I expect you to leave agricultural practice and regulation to the proper agencies,” Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) told Kennedy. That means, for the most part, leaving policies that impact farmers to USDA and EPA, Grassley clarified.
Future of agriculture. Kennedy shared his vision for the future of American agriculture:
- He called for fixing the food supply as a top priority. Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) told Kennedy that he was happy the nominee addressed the “social media rumors” about agriculture.
- “You made it very very clear you’re not going to tell Americans what to eat, but you do want Americans to know what they’re eating,” Lankford said, calling that a “pretty fair perspective” on food policy.
- Kennedy advocated for supporting the transition to regenerative and sustainable farming practices.
- He mentioned plans to rewrite regulations to give smaller operators “a break.”
- Throughout the hearing, Kennedy attempted to position himself as an ally to farmers while also advocating for changes in agricultural practices to address health and environmental concerns.
Controversial past: Democrats challenged his history of health misinformation and grasp of Medicare and Medicaid.
Republican support: Some GOP senators backed Kennedy, with Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) calling him “awesome,” though the final vote remains uncertain.
Financial concerns: His financial ties to lawsuits against Merck raised conflict-of-interest questions.
Abortion stance: Kennedy sidestepped direct answers but aligned with Trump’s anti-abortion policies, shifting from his previous pro-choice stance.

Bottom line: With strong opposition and divided support, Kennedy’s confirmation vote is expected to be closely contested. Today he attends another confirmation hearing before the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee. The Senate Finance Committee expects to hold its RFK Jr. vote next week.

Zeldin Confirmed as EPA Administrator

On Wednesday (Jan. 29), the Republican-led Senate confirmed former Congressman Lee Zeldin as the new administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in a 56-42 vote. A staunch Trump ally, Zeldin is expected to steer the agency in alignment with the former president’s environmental policies.

Vote breakdown: All 53 Republicans backed Zeldin, joined by three Democrats — Sens. Ruben Gallego (Ariz.), Mark Kelly (Ariz.), and John Fetterman (Pa.).
Policy direction: Zeldin is expected to roll back environmental regulations, emphasizing economic growth and private-sector collaboration.
Biofuel policy. Zeldin has raised concerns among ethanol and biofuel advocates due to his past opposition to the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and ethanol. However, during his confirmation process, Zeldin made some commitments that suggest a potential shift in his stance. As a congressman, Zeldin had a history of opposing biofuels and the RFS. He signed letters expressing concern about proposed RFS volume increases, citing issues with the “E10 blend wall.” In 2017, Zeldin cosponsored an unsuccessful bill to repeal the RFS. He raised concerns about the validity and practicality of higher ethanol blends like E15 and E85. But during his confirmation process, Zeldin made several statements that indicate a potential change in his approach:
- He committed to giving producers and the industry certainty in the marketplace regarding Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs).
- Zeldin acknowledged the importance of the RFS issue to President Trump and certain senators.
- He stated that no person or industry has any special influence over his decision-making, addressing concerns about his past connections to the oil industry.
Biofuel industry representatives have expressed cautious optimism:
- The Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) looks forward to working with Zeldin on keeping the RFS on track and addressing other priorities like E15 availability.
- The Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (IRFA) encouraged Zeldin to pursue the role biofuels can play in U.S. energy dominance.
- The American Coalition for Ethanol (ACE) appreciated Zeldin’s commitments to follow the law regarding RVO rulemakings and supporting year-round E15 nationwide.

Of note: While Zeldin’s past positions raised initial concerns, his recent statements during the confirmation process suggest he may be open to working with the biofuels industry in his new role as EPA Administrator.

Climate stance: Critics warn his leadership could weaken climate initiatives, favoring fossil fuel interests.
Reactions: Republicans praise his “common-sense regulation” approach, while environmental groups call his confirmation a serious setback for public health and environmental justice.

Bottom line. As Zeldin assumes leadership, his tenure is likely to reshape the EPA’s role in U.S. environmental policy for years to come.

Cassidy Casts Doubt on RFK Jr.’s HHS Nomination

Senate HELP Committee Chair Bill Cassidy (R-La.) delivered a blunt message to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. during Thursday’s hearing, signaling serious concerns about his nomination for Health and Human Services (HHS) secretary.

“I’ve been struggling with your nomination,” Cassidy stated in his closing remarks, a potential roadblock for Kennedy, given Cassidy’s influential position on the Senate Finance Committee. If Cassidy votes against Kennedy in the panel’s decision, the nomination may not advance.

The Louisiana senator expressed deep skepticism about Kennedy’s stance on vaccines, questioning whether he could be trusted to uphold sound public health policy. Cassidy specifically criticized Kennedy’s history of vaccine skepticism, warning that such views could erode trust in essential immunizations.

“A worthy movement, called MAHA, to improve the health of Americans?” Cassidy asked. “Or will it undermine it, always asking for more evidence and never accepting the evidence that is there?”

He also recounted a recent case of two children dying in a Baton Rouge ICU from vaccine-preventable diseases. “My concern is that if there’s any false note, any undermining of a mama’s trust in vaccines, another person will die from a vaccine-preventable disease,” Cassidy warned.

Beyond his own reservations, Cassidy’s remarks signal broader challenges for Kennedy’s nomination. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), a childhood polio survivor, is unlikely to back a nominee with anti-vaccine ties. Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) also remain key votes to watch, with both urging Kennedy to support vaccinations.

Cassidy, up for re-election in 2026, has already drawn a Trump-aligned challenger, State Treasurer John Fleming. Though Cassidy emphasized his desire for Trump’s policies to succeed, he warned that anti-vaccine rhetoric could tarnish Trump’s legacy.

“I want President Trump’s policies to succeed,” Cassidy said. “But if there’s someone that is not vaccinated because of policies, of attitudes we bring to the department, and there’s another 18-year-old who dies of a vaccine-preventable disease… The greatest tragedy will be her death. I can also tell you an associated tragedy will be that it will cast a shadow over President Trump’s legacy, which I want to be the absolute best legacy.”

Bottom line: With Cassidy’s support in doubt and broader Senate skepticism, Kennedy’s path to confirmation remains steep.

Key Takeaways from Brooke Rollins' Confirmation Hearing for Agriculture Secretary

Thu, 23 Jan 2025 17:19:54 GMT

Brooke Rollins, President Trump’s nominee for Agriculture Secretary , addressed several issues during her confirmation hearing on Jan. 23 in an attempt to position herself as a supporter of diverse agricultural interests and commit to protecting producers.

In her opening statement, Rollins outlined several key priorities for USDA if confirmed, as is expected:

Rapid deployment of disaster and economic assistance authorized by Congress.
Addressing current animal disease outbreaks.
Modernizing and realigning USDA.
Ensuring long-term prosperity for rural communities.

Ethanol and Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS)

Rollins clarified her stance on ethanol and RFS, distancing herself from past positions of the Texas Public Policy Foundation:

She stated the Foundation’s position on ethanol/RFS was written a decade ago and was one of 900 to 1,000 papers produced annually.
Rollins emphasized she did not author those papers.
While admitting to being a defender of fossil fuels, she insisted she would be “a secretary for all of agriculture” and a “champion for all fuels.”

When asked again on biofuel policy, Rollins said, “Everyone knows where the president is on this.”

The regulatory effort under the first Trump administration to make sales of E15 available year-round, Rollins noted, was not developed by the domestic policy office that she headed but she still said she looked forward to working on the issue ahead. She also committed to working with Treasury secretary-designate Scott Bessent on the 45Z Clean Fuels Production Credit. And she will make sure Bessent has the “data and the voices around him to make the right decisions.”

Tariff Impact Aid for Farmers

During questioning, Committee Chairman John Boozman (R-Ark.) asked Rollins about her approach to working with President Trump’s trade agenda. Rollins responded that she would prioritize working with the White House to address any challenges farmers and ranchers might face under potential tariff implementations.

Rollins committed to supporting farmers in case of tariff-related harm:

She pledged to undertake efforts like the Market Facilitation Program (MFP) via payments from the first Trump administration. MFP was part of a broader effort by USDA to assist farmers impacted by retaliatory tariffs and trade disruptions.
Rollins has consulted with former USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue about the implementation of such programs.

On trade, Rollins committed to using USDA programs and policies to bring the trade deficit in agriculture down to zero. But Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) countered that things like a stronger dollar and other factors were bigger components of the agriculture trade deficit rather than a failure of USDA policy.

Proposition 12

Rollins committed to working with Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) and others on addressing Prop 12 as it is affecting several states.

Commitment to Agriculture and Public Service

Rollins emphasized her dedication to the agricultural sector.

“My role is to defend, honor and elevate our entire ag community in the oval office ... to ensure that every decision made has that front of mind,” she states.

Rollins shared a personal detail about her family. She revealed her mother was the oldest freshman in the Texas legislature, highlighting her family’s history of public service.

Bottom line: These statements demonstrate Rollins’ attempt to position herself as a supporter of diverse agricultural interests, including both traditional and renewable fuels, while also showing her commitment to protecting farmers from potential trade-related challenges.

Your Next Read: Trump Taps Texas Native Brooke Rollins for Secretary of Agriculture

Continuing Resolution Includes $31 Billion in Aid for Producers

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 16:23:14 GMT

Farm groups and farm-state lawmakers had to first sell Congress on the need for substantial aid via the Continuing Resolution (CR) , now congressional leaders must sell others to pass it.

While the measure still needs to pass both the House and Senate, the stopgap deal to avoid a government shutdown includes $10 billion in direct payments for farmers, $21 bllion in ag disaster aid, a one-year extension of the 2018 farm bill and year-round E15.

Passage of CR Now in Question

Congress actually passing the stopgap spending measure is far from a done deal. Washington insiders were confident Wednesday morning Congress would pass the measure with bipartisan support, but strong opposition from the incoming Trump administration later in the day on Wednesday is now throwing that into question.

A statement from President Donald J. Trump and Vice President-Elect JD Vance:

The most foolish and inept thing ever done by Congressional Republicans was allowing our country to hit the debt ceiling in 2025. It was a mistake and is now something that must be addressed.…
— JD Vance (@JDVance) December 18, 2024

President-elect Donald Trump has asked to keep certain measures House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) supports in the continuing resolution (CR), like aid for farmers and natural disaster survivors, but also demanded the House ditch items that Democrats negotiated.

Trump has also requested that Republicans extend the suspension of the debt ceiling, a limit on how much the U.S. government can borrow, which is set to expire early in his new term next year.

Johnson’s legislative strategy has sparked significant discontent among Republicans, casting doubt on his ability to retain the gavel in the next Congress. On Tuesday, Johnson introduced a sprawling bill to extend federal funding until March 14, allocating $110.4 billion for natural disaster relief ($21 billion in ag disaster funding) and incorporating a range of unrelated policy provisions. Late-stage negotiations added $10 billion in aid for farmers, opening the floodgates to additional Democratic demands, including the transfer of RFK Stadium to D.C., a congressional pay raise, health plan regulations, and funds to rebuild Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge.

The concessions enraged GOP lawmakers across the party’s ideological spectrum, with members voicing concerns about Johnson’s leadership. Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) has already pledged not to support Johnson in future leadership elections, and private discussions among Republicans suggest Johnson may face insurmountable opposition come Jan. 3. The Freedom Caucus and moderates alike criticized his handling of the bill, while high-profile figures like Elon Musk, now a Trump adviser, lambasted the legislation as “criminal.”

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) warned of potential Senate resistance, labeling the bill a “cramnibus.” Johnson defended the compromise as a necessary measure under a divided government, framing it as a preparatory step for Republicans to advance Trump’s “America First” agenda in the next Congress. However, with a slim three-seat majority and growing fractures within the party, Johnson’s future as speaker hangs in the balance.

Breaking Down the Proposed CR

While the fate of the stopgap spending measure is now in question, if passed, the funding would last through March 14 for fiscal year 2025 that began Oct. 1.

Highlights of the bill that will impact agriculture includes:

One-year extension of the 2018 Farm Bill, including provisions that don’t have “baseline,” or cost money to extend. Negotiators found $143 million in unspent agricultural funds to rescind to offset those extensions. GOP leaders said they would push to consider a new bill the first quarter of 2025.
$10 billion in farmer financial aid along the lines of a bill introduced by Rep. Trent Kelly (R-Miss.).
$21 billion in ag disaster aid for farmers and ranchers as part of an overall $100.4 billion disaster package. The measure sets aside $2 billion of the disaster aid specifically for livestock producers, with much of the rest available via block grants to states and territories and direct aid to farmers and ranchers. It includes $3 million specifically for regular testing of procedures in place for inspections of molasses imports at the Canadian border, a provision sought by U.S. sugar producers.
Year-round E15, including other biofuel provisions detailed below.
SNAP provision. Language extending authorization of a program that replenishes stolen Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP/food stamp) benefits, which Democrats said would prevent a $1.5 billion cut to those benefits.

Disaster Aid

The disaster crop loss program will likely operate similarly to the 2021 program without any of the 2022 quirks that made it into a debacle. The livestock program will likely operate similar to the 2022 livestock program where the Biden administration actually managed to get it right. The economic aid program is very similar to Kelly farm act with a factor applied to keep it within budget.

Direct Payments to Farmers

Paul Neiffer’s analysis of the $10 billion in financial aid included in the CR calculates what the possible payments could be, including $43 per acre for corn, $30 for soybeans, $31.80 for wheat, $85 for cotton and $70 for long-grain rice.

Possible payment calculations

(Paul Neiffer )

When will payments be received by farmers? Economic aid will come 90 days after enactment. As for ag disaster, the push is on to use the 2020 approach where most payments came out of USDA’s Kansas City office.

Here are the key details and the differences from the original FARM Act:

The same 8 crops are specifically identified (corn, wheat, soybeans, cotton, rice, peanuts, oats and barley).
You will be paid on total 2024 planted acres by crop plus 50% of prevent planted acres by crop.

How Ag Financial Aid Will be Determined

The calculation uses national avg payment yield for PLC. Regarding the legislative language on the minimum payment rate calculation for economic assistance, we previously used 8% of the reference price multiplied by the national average yield. The legislative calculation uses the national average payment yield for PLC instead.
The payment limit is lowered from $175,000 to $125,000 and if your Farm AGI exceeds 75% of total AGI, then this is doubled to $250,000. Definition of AGI remains the same and this limit is per entity/ per person. This means an LLC has one payment no matter the number of owners. AGI is based on a three-year average of 2020-2022 tax years.

Here is a table of Neiffer’s estimated per acre payment amounts based on his knowledge of the provisions:

Year-Round E15

CR package includes nationwide year-round sales of 15% ethanol gasoline (E15) and offers short-term biofuel blending relief to small refiners.

Previously, E15 was restricted during summer months, though eight Midwestern states had already been granted year-round sales earlier this year. The inclusion of the E15 language, based on a bill by Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), marks a major win for ethanol producers and farm state lawmakers who have spent years lobbying to permanently allow year-round E15 sales.

The bill would also provide short-term relief to some small refiners under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) that retired renewable identification numbers (RINs) in 2016-18 in cases when their requests for “hardship” waivers remained pending for years. The bill would return some of those RINs to the small refiners and make them eligible for compliance in future years.

Enacting the stopgap funding bill would also make it unnecessary for eight states to follow through with a costly gasoline blendstock reformulation — set to begin as early as next summer — they had requested to retain year-round E15 sales in the midcontinent. Oil industry groups last month petitioned EPA to delay the fuel reformulation until after the 2025 summer driving season, citing concerns about inadequate fuel supply and the prospects that a legislative fix would make required infrastructure changes unnecessary.

Ethanol Groups React

Ethanol groups say the E15 legislative change could pave the way for retailers to more widely offer the high-ethanol fuel blend, which is currently available at 3,400 retail stations and last summer was about 10-30¢/USG cheaper than 10% ethanol gasoline (E10).

Offering the fuel year-round would be “an early Christmas present to American drivers,” ethanol industry group Growth Energy chief executive Emily Skor said.

Monte Shaw, executive director of the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association, said biofuels “champions” are fighting for the provision allowing the sale of E15 year-around. “We have been working to get a year-round E15 solution for over 10 years,” he said in a statement. “It would be monumental for ethanol demand to support rural farmers and would save drivers 10 to 20 cents at the pump.”

Calculating What It Means for Corn Demand

The potential increase in ethanol consumption and corn use due to year-round E15 sales is relatively modest based on the available information. The additional ethanol consumption from year-round E15 sales is estimated to be approximately 15 million gallons. This represents a small fraction of the total U.S. ethanol production. The 15-million-gallon increase in ethanol consumption would translate to an additional corn use of about 5.6 million bushels. It’s important to note that the impact of year-round E15 sales is limited by several factors:

Distribution network: E15 has a small distribution network, available at only a fraction of gas stations.
Consumer adoption: The shift to E15 may be gradual and dependent on factors such as price differentials and consumer awareness.
Seasonal demand: While year-round sales are now permitted, demand may still fluctuate seasonally.

Looking ahead, maintaining current corn use levels for ethanol (around 5.5 billion bushels) would require increasing the national average ethanol blend rate to 15-17% by 2042, given projected declines in gasoline consumption. This suggests that year-round E15 sales alone may not be sufficient to significantly boost corn use for ethanol in the long term. However, others note the quickest way to get consumer attention is with price and E15 is the cheapest option for most cars… in many markets it’s cheap enough that consumers seek it out. Also, some think it’s not even a question for new facilities to include E15 … it’s the easiest way to be competitive in a market. Either way, year-round E15 sales represent a symbolic victory for corn ethanol advocates, the immediate impact on ethanol consumption and corn use is expected to be minimal in the short run, but differences of opinion are in place regarding long-term impacts.

A bewildering assessment of the year-round E15 impact came from some traders, based on a Reuters article.

The concern expressed by traders regards a potential shift in demand from biodiesel to ethanol due to year-round E15 sales. That is a questionable conclusion. Consider:

Separate products with different applications. Ethanol and biodiesel are distinct biofuels with different uses and markets: Ethanol is primarily blended with gasoline for use in standard gasoline engines. Biodiesel is typically blended with petroleum diesel for use in diesel engines. This fundamental difference makes a direct substitution between the two unlikely in most applications.
Potential market impacts. While the products aren’t directly interchangeable, there are some potential indirect effects to consider:
- Fuel blending choices: Refiners and fuel blenders might adjust their overall biofuel strategy, potentially favoring increased ethanol blending if E15 becomes more widely available year-round.
- Feedstock competition: Both ethanol (from corn) and biodiesel (often from soybean oil) compete for agricultural resources. Increased demand for corn-based ethanol could impact crop planting decisions and prices.
- Policy uncertainty: The combination of year-round E15 approval and the upcoming change in administration adds complexity to the biofuels policy landscape, which could affect investment decisions in both ethanol and biodiesel sectors.
- Market reaction may be premature. The sharp drop in soybean oil prices mentioned in the Reuters story likely reflects short-term market uncertainty rather than a definitive shift in demand. Several factors suggest this reaction may be overblown:
  - Infrastructure limitations: Widespread adoption of E15 will take time due to the need for compatible fuel pumps and consumer education.
  - Separate mandates: The RFS has separate volume requirements for different biofuel categories, including biodiesel.
  - Diesel market stability: Demand for biodiesel is also driven by the diesel fuel market, which has different dynamics than the gasoline market.

Additional Details From the Bill

Democrats celebrated inclusion of priorities like funding for childcare and 9/11 survivors’ health care benefits; restrictions on China-related investments; legislation intended to crack down on publication of artificial intelligence-generated “deepfakes,” and on “junk” fees charged for hotel stays and concert tickets; new safety standards for lithium-ion batteries; and more.

Taxpayers would recoup some of the bridge rebuilding cost through proceeds from insurance and litigation payouts by the owner of the cargo ship Dali, which crashed into the bridge in March.

Also included is $25.6 million for residential security and protection of Supreme Court justices.

Negotiators also agreed to a 100% federal cost-share for Francis Scott Key Bridge reconstruction in Baltimore, a key demand of the Maryland delegation — who elsewhere in the bill had to accept language paving the way for a new Washington Commanders stadium on the old Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium, while transferring a D.C. National Guard fighter squadron to Maryland.

Appropriators threw in an unrequested $300 million for fisheries disaster aid, which Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and others sought.

The deal omits language that Democrats were seeking to unfreeze $20 billion in IRS enforcement funding.

What’s Next?

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) is expected to turn to Democrats to supply the bulk of votes needed to get the bill to the Senate. It appears lawmakers would have at least a day to review the package. It looks like Johnson will bring the CR up under suspension of the rules, which requires a two-thirds majority for passage.

A floor vote has yet to be scheduled, but the initial assessment is that the House will take it up as early as Thursday or more likely on Friday. That leaves the Senate little time to clear the measure before Friday’s midnight deadline. But even if the final action does not occur Friday, there is wiggle room on the weekend to get it done.

House Ag Panel Says Ag Economic Aid in Current CR Would Improve Ending Cash Position by 20% By End of 2025

The following is a quick fact sheet released by the House Ag Committee on the economic assistance that is provided in the current Continuing Resolution (CR), modeled off of Rept. Trent Kelly’s (R-Miss.) FARM Act (HR 10045). There is a background portion, a list of eligible commodities, a payment formula, administrative provisions, and estimated payment rates.

House Ag panel staffers say keep in mind that the payment rates in this document are estimates and “almost certain to change slightly once implemented. These rates are the best approximation based on the data cited in text. This does incorporate the minimum payment rate provision. You’ll see that those crops receiving payments via the minimum payment provision have an asterisk.”

The House Ag panel had the Agricultural and Food Policy Center at Texas A&M analyze the impact of the economic assistance provided through this provision. Their findings suggest that the funds will improve ending cash position on their Representative Farm system by nearly 20% by the end of 2025.

Additional Analysis on Potential Aid for Producers

The following is what Combest-Sell and crew put out about the ag financial aid and disaster aid:

Crop Loss Assistance

For crop loss disaster assistance for the 2023 and 2024 calendar years, the measure makes provision for nearly $21 billion.

The language is pretty wide open with slight refinements of prior years’ disaster bills. There are some carve-outs including: $2 billion of the total amount is provided for livestock losses in 2023 or 2024 due to drought, wildfires, or floods; block grant authority to compensate producers with timber losses, citrus, pecan, and poultry losses (including poultry infrastructure losses); and a special provision for agricultural producers who suffered losses due to Mexico’s failure to adhere to its water rights treaty with the U.S.

For the bulk of the disaster program, the eligible causes of loss are the same as those under the 2022 program, including losses of revenue, quality or production losses of crops (including milk, on-farm stored commodities, crops prevented from planting, and harvested adulterated wine grapes), trees, bushes, and vines, as a consequence of droughts, wildfires, hurricanes, floods, derechos, excessive heat, tornadoes, winter storms, freeze, including a polar vortex, smoke exposure, and excessive moisture occurring in 2023 and 2024.

Please note that while the 2022 statute was used again as base text (and it used 2020 which used 2019, etc.), that is not an endorsement of the badly flawed implementation used by the Vilsack USDA. We would say that the disaster program from 2020 and 2021 is more of the standard bearer to think back to.

Losses are to be covered under terms and conditions determined by the Secretary but subject to previous requirements that: (1) smoke tainted wine grapes due to wildfires are covered; (2) losses due to drought are eligible if in a county with a D2 drought for 8 consecutive weeks or D3 drought or higher at any time during the calendar year but excessive heat as a cause of loss can cover lesser drought if it meets STC parameters; (3) sugar beet and sugar cane disaster be implemented through processors that elect to deliver aid to their producers; (4) not more than 1 percent of funds may be used for implementation; (5) payment limitations required under previous ERP programs apply (i.e., $125,000 per entity, or $250,000 if not less than 75% of AGI is derived from farming); (5) higher pay limits for specialty crops and high valued crops under previous ERP programs apply (i.e., $125,000 per entity, or $900,000 if not less than 75% of AGI is derived from farming) (Note: there is *no* AGI means testing for disaster aid; the portion of AGI derived from agriculture is just used as a measure to determine eligibility for the higher pay limit)] ; (6) prescribed pay limits are separate for each of the 2023 and 2024 calendar years; (7) payments under the program plus crop insurance and/or NAP (less premiums or fees paid) cannot exceed 90% of the loss; and (8) the same future crop insurance purchase requirements under previous ERP programs apply. In addition, to the extent that any factor must be applied to stay within budget, one single factor must be applied to the eligible benefit of each producer (i.e., no progressive factor).

No gender or race-based components are expected to be applied either in light of the federal court’s injunction.

The Secretary may use $30 million to provide equitable relief for specialty crop A&O for 2022 and 2023 reinsurance years.

The Secretary shall use $3 million to test product coming into the country under the molasses tariff line to ensure that it is molasses.

USDA is required to report to Appropriations Committees on progress of implementation within 120 days of enactment and quarterly until all payments are made. We will be pushing with the new Administration at USDA to get the FSA back on track with a quick and clear implementation that treats a loss as a loss regardless of the gender or race of the producer. Federal courts will also be ensuring this.

Economic Loss Assistance

For economic loss assistance for the 2024 crop year, the measure provides $10 billion in relief.

The program is not as robust as the Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MISS.) bill (the “FARM Act”) that was introduced this fall and spread in popularity like wildfire. But it is still generous, and we hope that when coupled with disaster relief it will go a long way in helping producers until Congress reauthorizes a new Farm Bill next year with a strong, meaningful safety net.

The measure uses the Kelly model, with a 26% factor to keep overall costs within budget, and another factor (8% of reference price) that creates minimums that improve the payment rates for certain crops (barley, rice, peanuts, minor crops).

Eligible commodities are commodities eligible for a marketing loan, except wool, mohair, and honey.

Under the program, if the Secretary determines that the expected gross return per acre for an eligible commodity is less than the expected cost of production per acre for that eligible commodity, the Secretary shall make a 1-time economic assistance payment to each producer of that commodity within 90 days of enactment of the supplemental.

The expected gross return per acre for an eligible commodity is equal to the following:

For wheat, corn, grain sorghum, barley, oats, cotton, rice, and soybeans, [the projected average farm price for the commodity for the 2024–2025 marketing year contained in the most recent World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates published before the date of enactment of the Supplemental by the World Agricultural Outlook Board] X [the national average harvested yield per acre for the commodity for the most recent 10 crop years, as determined by the Secretary].

For other loan eligible commodities, a comparable estimate of gross returns, as determined by the Secretary.

The expected cost of production per acre for an eligible commodity is equal to—

For wheat, corn, grain sorghum, barley, oats, cotton, rice, and soybeans, the total costs listed for the 2024 crop year with respect to the commodity contained in the most recent data product entitled “national average cost-of-production forecasts for major U.S. field crops” published by the Economic Research Service.

For other loan eligible commodities, a comparable total estimated cost-of-production, as determined by the Secretary.

The amount of an economic assistance payment to a producer for a commodity is equal to [the economic loss for the commodity] X [the eligible acres of the commodity on the farm] X [26%].

The economic loss for a commodity is equal to the difference between the expected cost of production per acre for the commodity and the expected gross return per acre for the commodity.

Eligible acres of a commodity on a farm is equal to the sum of the acreage planted on the farm to the commodity for harvest, grazing, haying, silage, or other similar purposes for the 2024 crop year and an amount equal to 50% of the acreage on the farm that was prevented from being planted during the 2024 crop year to the commodity because of drought, flood, or other natural disaster, or other condition beyond the control of the producers on the farm, as determined by the Secretary.

The Secretary shall consider acreage planted to include any land devoted to planted acres for accepted skip-row planting patterns, as determined by the Secretary.

In determining the payment rate for a crop for which there is no sufficient available data, the Secretary shall use the data related to a similarly situated crop to establish a comparable rate.

In no case shall the amount of an economic assistance payment to a producer for an eligible commodity be equal to less than [8% of the PLC/ARC reference price for the commodity] X [the national average payment yield for the eligible commodity] X [the number of eligible acres for the commodity].

As for pay limits and means tests, the total amount of payments received, directly or indirectly, by a person or legal entity (except a joint venture or general partnership) under this section may not exceed —

(A) $125,000, if less than 75% of the average gross income of the person or legal entity for the 2020, 2021, and 2022 tax years is derived from farming, ranching, or silviculture activities; and
(B) $250,000, if not less than 75% of the average gross income of the person or legal entity for the 2020, 2021, and 2022 tax years is derived from farming, ranching, or silviculture activities.

Please note the “average” is different from “adjusted.” Recall the scenario where a farmer grosses $1 million on the farm but had expenses that exceeded this, so his AGI (adjusted gross income) was negative. He or his wife also had a job teaching history and science at the local school creating a situation where his non-farm income was more than 75% of his AGI and he was therefore not eligible for the higher limit to address the losses. Using “average” gross is meant to correct that problem.

The pay limits for economic assistance are separate from the pay limits for crop loss assistance described above. And, just like the crop loss portions, this economic assistance is not subject to the AGI means test to determine eligibility that traditional farm bill benefits are subject to.

We are sure that you have seen estimated payment rates floated in various publications. These are certainly within the range, but it is important to note that final numbers have not yet been determined.

Beyond Crop Loss/Economic Assistance

Besides the aforementioned economic and disaster aid, the CR/Supplemental also includes other priorities for agriculture, including year-round E15.

The package also extends the current authorities in the farm bill for one year; makes investments in the FFAR research program; provides scholarships to 1890 universities; and addresses problems with fraudulent skimming of food stamp benefits from EBT cards.

Ag Sector Could Score Big in Stopgap Spending

Tue, 17 Dec 2024 19:57:37 GMT

The House of Representatives released its Continuing Resolution (CR) text today, which includes:

A one-year extension of the 2018 farm bill
Around $10 billion in farmer economic aid
$21 billion in ag disaster funding for 2023 and 2024, which is part of the $100.4 billion to help the hurricane-stricken Southeast
Year-round E15 sales, which is a major victory for the corn and ethanol industries

The plan will offer credits to small refiners that petitioned for exemptions from the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandates (2016 to 2018 compliance years) but were denied or had pending petitions as of Dec. 1, 2022. The RFS requires refiners to blend biofuels such as ethanol into gasoline or purchase compliance credits.

The provision would override a previous U.S. government decision allowing year-round E15 sales only in eight Midwestern states (set to begin in 2025).

Extension of Orphan Programs in 2018 Farm Bill
There also appears to be an extension of orphan programs in the 2018 farm bill extension and a permanent 1890s scholarship program. The icing on the cake is a four-year extension of SNAP fraud via the skimming reimbursement language.

Orphan programs are ones that were authorized in the 2018 farm bill but did not have funding beyond a specified year. The extension provides $177 million of new mandatory funding for programs that did not have a budget baseline. This ensures these programs can continue to operate during the extension period.

The 1890s scholarship program provides scholarships for students attending 1890 land-grant universities, which are historically Black colleges and universities that were established under the Second Morrill Act of 1890.

The SNAP Fraud Reimbursement extension is the continuation of reimbursements for stolen Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits. This provision protects SNAP recipients from losses due to benefit theft via card skimming, cloning and other similar methods. States will continue to be required to replace stolen benefits under this measure.

One source said, “Good policy would be emphasizing the need for states to transition to more secure measures for SNAP recipients, including stronger identity verification practices.”

Of Note
Senate Ag Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) did not get her wish to move conservation/climate funding into a one-year extension of the 2018 farm bill. That discussion will occur next year.

Economic Aid and Disaster Funding
Disaster aid for crop losses due to natural disasters for 2023 and 2024 will total $21 billion.

The discussions for economic aid centered on a $10 billion package to help farmers cope with price declines and rising input costs. House Agriculture Chairman GT Thompson (R-Pa.) indicated that $10 billion is the minimum he would accept. He mentioned Republican support for reallocating conservation program funds from the 2022 legislation into the farm bill baseline, but that Republicans are disputing the “guardrails” that require funds to support “climate-smart” projects.

Thompson also noted concerns that some critics want to ensure President-elect Donald Trump would have access to funds to compensate farmers for potential retaliation stemming from new Trump import tariffs.

Year-Round E-15
Year-round sales of E15 ethanol has been a long-standing goal for corn growers and ethanol producers, particularly in states such as Iowa, Illinois and Minnesota where a significant portion of corn production goes into ethanol.

Currently, E15 is available at more than 3,200 gas stations in the U.S., indicating room for growth (there are more than 196,000 fuel stations in the U.S.). About 95% of model year 2024 vehicles are explicitly approved for E15 use by manufacturers.

The actual increase in ethanol usage would likely be gradual as E15 adoption expands. While the theoretical maximum ethanol usage through year-round E15 sales could reach 20,586 million gallons annually, the actual increase would depend on factors such as consumer adoption and infrastructure development — separate fuel handling and storage for E15.

Now What?
A vote in the House won’t happen until at least Thursday night if House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) sticks to his plan to honor the rule giving members 72 hours to review the bill.

Other House Happenings
House Democrats removed Rep. David Scott (D-Ga.) as their senior Agriculture Committee leader after he received just 5 votes in Monday’s influential steering panel vote. Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) emerged as the frontrunner with 34 votes, while Rep. Jim Costa (D-Calif.) trailed with 22 votes. Craig now heads into Tuesday’s full caucus vote, seeking additional support. Craig plans to rally House colleagues for the final vote. Meanwhile, Costa vowed to keep pushing and will try to supplant Craig in the full caucus. Lawmakers had anticipated Scott’s ouster amid growing skepticism of his leadership — Scott has dropped out of the race.

Craig indicated part of her pitch to the panel was that there are no other Ranking Members for Democrats from the U.S. Midwest.

“There’s not a single ranking member from the middle of the country right now, and that was certainly part of my pitch to my colleagues, is that if we want to represent this whole country, then we need ranking members and leaders in the Democratic Party who are from the whole country,” she stated.

Craig came into Congress in 2019 while Costa and Scott were elected in the early 2000s.

GOP Eyes Strategic Appointment to Boost House Majority
Republicans may have found a way to temporarily expand their narrow House majority: appointing a Democrat to the Trump administration. Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) is reportedly being considered to lead the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) next year. The move would leave Democrats short a vote for weeks, bolster the GOP’s edge, and possibly help Republicans flip Moskowitz’s seat. Moskowitz, who previously served as Florida’s emergency management director under Gov. Ron DeSantis, could gain significant recognition if he pursues a 2026 gubernatorial bid. While his office and House Democratic leadership declined to comment, the appointment’s political ramifications are being closely watched ahead of Monday’s internal party elections.

Take our Poll: Do you think Congress should pass emergency relief for farmers in the CR? You can voice your opinion in our AgWeb poll.

Chasing Dollars (or Pennies) With Carbon Farming

Wed, 23 Oct 2024 21:36:21 GMT

The move to climate-smart farming practices has felt like a disorganized and chaotic movement of different opinions and attitudes toward an elusive and dynamic end point.

That is — herding cats.

The original plan for carbon farming was carbon offsets. Eastern Iowa farmer and carbon-market early adopter Ben Riensche explained that approach very clearly during a recent farmer forum on “ AgriTalk .”

“It’s like paying you to go to Jenny Craig to lose weight for me,” he said.

There are still carbon offset opportunities, but the broader market is in transition. Instead of an individual farmer contracting to change production practices to offset the carbon output of another producer, the effort now is to maximize crops with the lowest carbon footprint in the production of biofuels.

The theory is other end users will eventually need to compete to have the crops with the lowest carbon footprint to produce whatever they produce. Maybe even if that’s beef, pork or poultry.

Enter 45Z Tax Credits

Starting Jan. 1, 2025, registered biofuel producers will be eligible for 45Z tax credits totaling as much as $1.75 per gallon. The biggest incentives are expected to be paid to producers of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), which use ethanol and bio-based diesel produced with crops with the lowest combined carbon intensity (CI) score.

If an ethanol or oilseed crush plant can convince all growers who send crops to its plant to make an effort to lower their carbon intensity score, they might be in line to capture a chunk of that $1.75 per gallon and distribute it to their suppliers via higher corn and soybean bids.

Another option is to put all producers feeding crops into biofuel facilities on the same footing by capturing CO2 and locking it up underground. That would likely make the facility eligible for 45Z credits.

But Is It Worth It?

The beauty of this is many producers are already using production practices that lower their CI score. The key will be to document and certify sustainability efforts. If you are doing the bare minimum to reduce your CI score, you might be eligible for a small share of the 45Z tax credit.

If what you’re doing now generates the greatest return, including the 45Z incentive, you should feel no pressure to change what you are doing. If, however, a change here or there on the production side will lower your CI score enough to result in a payment that would more than offset increased costs or lower production, then maybe that’s something to think about trying.

The analysis is straightforward: If a change in production practices will earn you more net income per acre, it’s a change worth considering.

Your Next Read: Treasury Dept. Finally Releases Guidance on the Sustainable Aviation Fuel 40B Tax Credit

Industry News: Vive Crop Protection Soars With 30% Growth, Meristem & Growmark Invest in Sustainability

Tue, 01 Oct 2024 18:00:01 GMT

Meristem Announces Patent Pending Liquid Bio-Capsule Technology
Meristem Crop Performance has a new patent pending Liquid Bio-Capsule Technology delivery system.

“We’ve seen great yield results from thousands of farmers on millions of acres by keeping these biologicals protected with our dry planter box Bio-Capsule microbial delivery system,” said Mitch Eviston, Meristem’s founder and CEO. “Now with our patent pending Liquid Bio-Capsule, farmers will be able to conveniently pair dry solubles with liquids to bring new options to their sprayer applications.”

The Liquid Bio-Capsule was designed to fit on top of a 2.5 gallon jug and other liquid containers.

“There are so many biofungicides and bioinsecticides that have not been available to farmers simply because it’s a challenge to keep them viable through the channel,” Eviston explains. “Now for the first time, live beneficial microbes can be kept in a separate compartment on top of a jug and mixed with synthetics at the point of use.”

John Gertz, Meristem’s chief operating officer, says the product solves several problems in a convenient way. He points to these benefits:

All-season Flexibility. Microbial technology can now be added to any liquid application. The Liquid Bio-Capsule allows convenient delivery of beneficial biologicals to any spray application throughout the season.
Fast-track Innovation. The Liquid Bio-Capsule is driven by co-pack regulatory strategy that allows faster EPA registration. That means more localized, cost-effective, field-specific remedies to crop production challenges.
Greater Market Access. Some biological companies have discovered beneficial microbes or have proprietary blends, but are struggling with keeping them alive all the way to the field. The Liquid Bio-Capsule can be licensed by those seeking to reach farmers with their own brands.

Vive Crop Protection Shares Strong Growth in 2024
In the past year, Vive Crop Protection says its grown on-ground sales by more than 30%. Dave Rummel, the company’s vice president of sales and business development, points to two notable product introductions.

“Vive’s ground-breaking nano-tech solutions, designed to meet the specific needs of growers, has set the company apart,” Rummel says. “In 2024, we were proud to launch Phobos FC fungicide as the most recent result of Vive’s product development engine. The Phobos FC product launch exceeded our highest expectations, selling out and more than doubling our launch year’s expectations. Likewise, Vive’s Averland FC insecticide/nematicide grew on-ground sales by over 70% as growers discovered the flexibility, efficacy, and efficiency Vive products deliver.”

The company’s focus on operational efficiency and sales productivity has also been key.

“Vive’s 2024 success highlights the consistency of our products and the strength of our market strategy,” Rummel says. “As Vive continues to grow, our unwavering commitment to growers to deliver efficient, innovative solutions remains at the core of our success. Yet the company’s resilience in navigating a challenging market has not just been a testament to the strength of our products or the commitment of our channel partners, it’s also a reflection of the collective genius, adaptive mindset, and the grit our employees bring every day.”

Growmark Purchases Stake in Big River Resources
Growmark has made an investment in Big River Resources LLC, an ethanol production company, headquartered in West Burlington, Iowa.

Growmark CEO Mark Orr says Growmark believes ethanol will continue to be a strong driver of the agricultural industry.

“Our investment in Big River Resources aligns with Growmark’s strategic goals to diversify and strengthen our operations. This investment will enable us to capture new revenue streams and provide added value to our farmer members,” he said.

Big River Resources CEO David Zimmerman says Growmark will be a strong partner in helping Big River Resources reach its goals.

“We are pleased to welcome Growmark to the Big River team as a new investor. Growmark’s cooperative nature and focus of returning value to its member-owners and farmer customers aligns strongly with our goals,” Zimmerman says. “We are committed to the enhancement of local communities through continuing value-added corn processing as well as maximizing the growing carbon economy for our shareholders and producer-members.”

Big River’s operational footprint in Illinois, Wisconsin, and Iowa will also provide greater access to the upstream value added to the corn produced by Growmark’s farmer customers.

“Our stake in Big River Resources is one more way we’re giving our member companies and the farmers we represent a competitive edge in the global grain market,” said Matt Lurkins, Growmark vice president of grain and strategic relationships.

Legislation Offered to Extend 45Z Tax Credits, Restrict to Domestic Feedstocks

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 19:48:35 GMT

There’s a new push in Congress to boost renewable fuels production in the U.S.

The 45Z tax credit is set to begin January 1, 2025 under the Inflation Reduction Act and run until the end of 2027. But this week, a bipartisan group of lawmakers has proposed extending the credit through 2034 and restricting the credit to domestic feed stocks.

The Farmer First Fuel Incentives Act was introduced in the Senate by Sens. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) and Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), and in the House by Reps. Tracey Mann (R-Kan.) and Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio).

Donnell Rehagen, chief executive officer for the Clean Fuels Alliance America, says, “This tax credit 45Z will be effective January 1, 2025, but it’s really only good for a couple of years. Because it’s a critical element to our industry and the ability for industry to grow, getting that tax credit extended now creates that certainty our producers need in order to make that investment to continue to grow their production capacity.”

The tax credit ranges from $1.25 to $1.75 per gallon depending on the carbon intensity score of the feed stock used, but currently allows foreign feed stocks. The proposed bill would target the credit to only domestic feed stocks, which is drawing mixed response as some biofuels producers currently rely on imported feed stocks like used cooking oil from countries such as China.

Rehagen says their members support free trade, but more importantly, they need the Treasury Department to provide 45Z guidance as soon as possible so biofuels producers can acquire feedstocks for the program.

“We want to be able to export our finished fuels to countries that would use them and maybe pay production incentives for that. So, we don’t want to really be doing anything that could cause harm for our ability to access international markets. Some of that starts with trying to then disincentivize the importing of other products,” he explains. “We’re concerned it’s going to result in a pullback of some of the production that’s going on today as those producers have to wait for a little more certainty.”

Farmers also need this guidance as they make cropping plans for the 2025 growing season as feed stocks will need to be produced with climate smart agricultural practices to lower their carbon intensity score and qualify for the program.